Prediction markets

Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair?

Kevin Warsh95%
Judy Shelton4%
Arthur Laffer1%
View event details
Kevin Warsh - 95¢Judy Shelton - 4¢Arthur Laffer - 1¢
Mar 18 @ 12:00 PM

Fed decision in Mar 2026

Fed maintains rate95%
Cut 25bps6%
Cut >25bps2%
View event details
Fed maintains rate - 95¢Cut 25bps - 6¢Cut >25bps - 2¢

Fed decision in Apr 2026

Fed maintains rate78%
Cut 25bps23%
Hike 25bps2%
View event details
Fed maintains rate - 78¢Cut 25bps - 23¢Hike 25bps - 2¢

Fed decision in Jun 2026

Cut 25bps51%
Fed maintains rate48%
Cut >25bps23%
View event details
Cut 25bps - 51¢Fed maintains rate - 48¢Cut >25bps - 23¢
Mar 18 @ 5:00 AM

Number of Dissenting FOMC Members March 18 2026

View event details
Jun 17 @ 5:00 AM

Number of Dissenting FOMC Members June 17 2026

0 dissents--
1 dissents--
2 dissents--
View event details
0 dissents - --1 dissents - --2 dissents - --
Jan 20
97.85M97,854,125
Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair?
Kevin Warsh
95%
+ 22 contracts
Mar 18
7.48M7,477,834
Fed decision in Mar 2026
Fed maintains rate
95%
+ 4 contracts
Apr 29
148k148,366
Fed decision in Apr 2026
Fed maintains rate
78%
+ 4 contracts
Jun 17
52k52,772
Fed decision in Jun 2026
Cut 25bps
51%
+ 4 contracts
Mar 18
1k1,380
Number of Dissenting FOMC Members March 18 2026
2 dissents
42%
+ 4 contracts
Jun 17
Number of Dissenting FOMC Members June 17 2026
0 dissents
--%
+ 4 contracts
Apr 29
Number of Dissenting FOMC Members April 29 2026
0 dissents
0%
+ 4 contracts
Event contracts involve significant risk and are not appropriate for everyone. Please carefully consider in light of your personal financial circumstances. Event contracts are offered by Robinhood Derivatives, LLC.