fKdEG7zzuDFh9RaMUqzmkLh7UCuRgRdXYd3YfjEt

Prediction markets

Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair?

Kevin Hassett53%
Christopher Waller25%
Kevin Warsh20%
View event details
Kevin Hassett - 53¢Christopher Waller - 25¢Kevin Warsh - 20¢

Number of rate cuts in 2025

Exactly 3 cuts99%
14 or more cuts1%
Exactly 10 cuts1%
View event details
Exactly 3 cuts - 99¢14 or more cuts - 1¢Exactly 10 cuts - 1¢

Fed decision in Jan 2026

Fed maintains rate77%
Cut 25bps23%
Cut >25bps2%
View event details
Fed maintains rate - 77¢Cut 25bps - 23¢Cut >25bps - 2¢

Fed funds rate after Jan 2026 meeting

Above 2.75%97%
Above 3.00%94%
Above 3.25%92%
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>2.75% - 97¢>3.00% - 94¢>3.25% - 92¢
Jan 20
7.04M7,036,894
Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair?
Kevin Hassett
53%
+ 22 contracts
Jan 1
6.53M6,525,010
Number of rate cuts in 2025
Exactly 3 cuts
99%
+ 14 contracts
Jan 28
1.18M1,180,365
Fed decision in Jan 2026
Fed maintains rate
77%
+ 4 contracts
Jan 28
26k26,629
Fed funds rate after Jan 2026 meeting
Above 2.75%
97%
+ 10 contracts
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