Prediction markets

Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair?

Kevin Warsh96%
Judy Shelton2%
Arthur Laffer1%
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Kevin Warsh - 96¢Judy Shelton - 2¢Arthur Laffer - 1¢
Mar 18 @ 12:00 PM

Fed decision in Mar 2026

Fed maintains rate90%
Cut 25bps10%
Cut >25bps2%
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Fed maintains rate - 90¢Cut 25bps - 10¢Cut >25bps - 2¢

Fed decision in Apr 2026

Fed maintains rate79%
Cut 25bps26%
Cut >25bps7%
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Fed maintains rate - 79¢Cut 25bps - 26¢Cut >25bps - 7¢

Fed decision in Jun 2026

Cut 25bps46%
Fed maintains rate32%
Cut >25bps26%
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Cut 25bps - 46¢Fed maintains rate - 32¢Cut >25bps - 26¢
Mar 18 @ 5:00 AM

Number of Dissenting FOMC Members March 18 2026

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Apr 29 @ 5:00 AM

Number of Dissenting FOMC Members April 29 2026

0 dissents0%
1 dissents0%
2 dissents0%
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0 dissents - 0¢1 dissents - 0¢2 dissents - 0¢
Jan 20
59.56M59,562,003
Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair?
Kevin Warsh
96%
+ 22 contracts
Mar 18
1.54M1,541,286
Fed decision in Mar 2026
Fed maintains rate
90%
+ 4 contracts
Apr 29
31k31,014
Fed decision in Apr 2026
Fed maintains rate
79%
+ 4 contracts
Jun 17
8k8,182
Fed decision in Jun 2026
Cut 25bps
46%
+ 4 contracts
Mar 18
560560
Number of Dissenting FOMC Members March 18 2026
2 dissents
42%
+ 4 contracts
Apr 29
Number of Dissenting FOMC Members April 29 2026
0 dissents
0%
+ 4 contracts
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