Prediction markets / Economics

European Central Bank Rate Decision in April

Maintain current rate98¢
Cut more than 25bps5¢
Cut 1-25bps3¢
1D
1W
MAX

Select a contract

Timeline

Event day
April 30, 2026
Contract resolves
Determines the outcome of the contract
Payout
Usually within 1 hour of event resolution

About

What will be the European Central Bank rate decision in April? This market refers to the Apr 30, 2026 meeting of the ECB Governing Council. The market resolves based on the official policy rate decision announced by the central bank. For central banks with multiple policy rates, only changes to the primary policy rate count. If the meeting is cancelled or delayed past the expiration date, markets for "No change" resolve to Yes and all others resolve to No. Emergency rate changes between scheduled meetings do not affect resolution of contracts tied to scheduled meetings. The specific basis point ranges are inclusive (e.g., "25-50bp" includes both 25bp and 50bp changes). Get $1 for every contract you own if your prediction is correct. Or close your position before the event resolves. Additional fees apply. Read the full contract terms and conditions

Trading prohibitions

  • Persons who are employed by any of the Source Agencies are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
  • Persons who hold any material, non-public information on the Underlying are not permitted to trade on the Contract.

Similar events

What decision will the Bank of Mexico make regarding its policy rate in September 2026?
Number of rate cuts in 2026
Jobless Claims for week ending in June 27, 2026
CPI in June
How many barrels of oil per day will the US produce in 2026?
Inflation in July 2026 (CPI YoY)
How much solar capacity will be installed in the US in 2026?
What decision will the Bank of Korea make regarding its policy rate in July 2026?
Unemployment in July
What will the Singapore Overnight Rate Average be August 31, 2026?
CPI in August
Reserve Bank of Australia rate decision in August
Restrictions and eligibility requirements apply. Futures, options on futures and cleared swaps trading involves significant risk and is not appropriate for everyone. Please carefully consider if it is appropriate for you in light of your personal financial circumstances.
Read the Event Contracts Risk Disclosure for more information about the risks associated with event contracts.
Live data is for informational purposes only. It maybe delayed or incorrect.
Event contracts are offered by Robinhood Derivatives, LLC through either KalshiEX LLC, ForecastEX, LLC or Rothera Exchange and Clearing LLC.