Prediction markets / Economics

European Central Bank rate decision in June

Hike 1-25bps98¢
Maintain current rate2¢
Cut 1-25bps1¢
1D
1W
MAX

Select a contract

Timeline

Event day
June 11, 2026
Contract resolves
Determines the outcome of the contract
Payout
Usually within 1 hour of event resolution

About

What will be the European Central Bank rate decision in June? This market refers to the Jun 11, 2026 meeting of the ECB Governing Council. The market resolves based on the official policy rate decision announced by the central bank. For central banks with multiple policy rates, only changes to the primary policy rate count. If the meeting is cancelled or delayed past the expiration date, markets for "No change" resolve to Yes and all others resolve to No. Emergency rate changes between scheduled meetings do not affect resolution of contracts tied to scheduled meetings. The specific basis point ranges are inclusive (e.g., "25-50bp" includes both 25bp and 50bp changes). Get $1 for every contract you own if your prediction is correct. Or close your position before the event resolves. Additional fees apply. Read the full contract terms and conditions

Trading prohibitions

  • Persons who are employed by any of the Source Agencies are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
  • Persons who hold any material, non-public information on the Underlying are not permitted to trade on the Contract.

Similar events

CPI in September
Bank of England rate decision in December
How high will the price of fertilizer get this year?
Unemployment in November
Next Fed rate hike
How many FOMC members will dissent at the September 2026 Fed meeting?
What will the Singapore Overnight Rate Average be October 30, 2026?
What will the Singapore Overnight Rate Average be November 30, 2026?
Recession this year
European Central Bank rate decision in October
How many FOMC members will dissent at the December 2026 Fed meeting?
How low will gas prices in Florida get this year
Restrictions and eligibility requirements apply. Futures, options on futures and cleared swaps trading involves significant risk and is not appropriate for everyone. Please carefully consider if it is appropriate for you in light of your personal financial circumstances.
Read the Event Contracts Risk Disclosure for more information about the risks associated with event contracts.
Live data is for informational purposes only. It maybe delayed or incorrect.
Event contracts are offered by Robinhood Derivatives, LLC through either KalshiEX LLC, ForecastEX, LLC, Rothera Exchange and Clearing LLC, or North American Derivatives Exchange, Inc.