European Central Bank rate decision in October
Maintain current rate63¢
Hike 1-25bps36¢
Cut 1-25bps3¢
LIVE
1D
1W
MAX
Select a contract
Maintain current rate
63¢
Hike 1-25bps
36¢
Cut 1-25bps
3¢
Cut more than 25bps
2¢
Hike more than 25bps
2¢
Timeline
Trading hours
24 hours a day, except Thursday 3AM-5AM ETEvent day
October 29, 2026Contract resolves
Determines the outcome of the contractPayout
Usually within 1 hour of event resolutionAbout
What will be the European Central Bank rate decision in October? This market refers to the Oct 29, 2026 meeting of the ECB Governing Council. The market resolves based on the official policy rate decision announced by the central bank. For central banks with multiple policy rates, only changes to the primary policy rate count. If the meeting is cancelled or delayed past the expiration date, markets for "No change" resolve to Yes and all others resolve to No. Emergency rate changes between scheduled meetings do not affect resolution of contracts tied to scheduled meetings. The specific basis point ranges are inclusive (e.g., "25-50bp" includes both 25bp and 50bp changes). Get $1 for every contract you own if your prediction is correct. Or close your position before the event resolves. Additional fees apply. Read the full contract terms and conditions
Trading prohibitions
- Persons who are employed by any of the Source Agencies are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
- Persons who hold any material, non-public information on the Underlying are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
Similar events
How low will US gas prices get in 2026
Number of rate cuts in 2026
How high will the price of natural gas be in 2026?
How low will gas prices in California get this year
US GDP growth in Q2 2027
Fed rate decision in July 2027
US real GDP growth in 2032
What decision will the Bank of Mexico make regarding its policy rate in September 2026?
Unemployment in November
Jobless Claims for week ending in September 19, 2026
What decision will the Bank of Mexico make regarding its policy rate in November 2026?
US real GDP growth in 2034
Restrictions and eligibility requirements apply. Futures, options on futures and cleared swaps trading involves significant risk and is not appropriate for everyone. Please carefully consider if it is appropriate for you in light of your personal financial circumstances.
Read the Event Contracts Risk Disclosure for more information about the risks associated with event contracts.
Live data is for informational purposes only. It maybe delayed or incorrect.
Event contracts are offered by Robinhood Derivatives, LLC through either KalshiEX LLC, ForecastEX, LLC, Rothera Exchange and Clearing LLC, or North American Derivatives Exchange, Inc.