Prediction markets

 

Inflation in June 2026 (CPI YoY)

Above 2.5%99%
Above 2.6%99%
Above 2.7%99%
 

CPI in June

Greater than -0.3%91%
Greater than -0.2%40%
Greater than -0.1%11%
 

US real GDP growth in 2026

1.6% to 2.0%25.9%
2.1% to 2.5%24.0%
1.1% to 1.5%15.2%
 

More tech layoffs in 20​26 than in 2025

More tech layoffs In 202691.3%
 

Inflation in July 2026 (CPI YoY)

Above 3.1%99%
Above 3.2%99%
Above 3.3%93%
 

Unemployment in July

Above 3.7%99%
Above 3.8%99%
Above 3.9%98%
Jul 14
937k937,889
Inflation in June 2026 (CPI YoY)
Above 2.5%
99%
+ 20 contracts
Jul 14
466k466,816
CPI in June
Greater than -0.3%
91%
+ 8 contracts
Feb 28
176k176,485
US real GDP growth in 2026
1.6% to 2.0%
26%
+ 13 contracts
Mar 1
163k163,834
More tech layoffs in 20​26 than in 2025
More tech layoffs In 2026
91%
Aug 12
103k103,079
Inflation in July 2026 (CPI YoY)
Above 3.1%
99%
+ 20 contracts
Aug 7
32k32,518
Unemployment in July
Above 3.7%
99%
+ 13 contracts
Aug 12
26k26,094
CPI in July
Greater than -0.4%
99%
+ 9 contracts
Feb 28
15k15,484
US real GDP growth in 2027
2.6% to 3.0%
20%
+ 13 contracts
Aug 7
14k14,659
Jobs numbers in Jul 2026
Above -25,000
97%
+ 12 contracts
Feb 28
11k11,547
US real GDP growth in 2028
2.1% to 2.5%
14%
+ 13 contracts
Jul 30
8k8,232
2026 June Core PCE Index
Above 0.1%
87%
+ 4 contracts
Sep 11
7k7,646
Inflation in August 2026 (CPI YoY)
Above 3.6%
99%
+ 20 contracts
Feb 28
7k7,622
US real GDP growth in 2029
2.1% to 2.5%
16%
+ 13 contracts
Nov 6
4k4,357
Unemployment in October
Above 3.7%
98%
+ 13 contracts
Feb 28
4k4,320
US real GDP growth in 2030
2.6% to 3.0%
17%
+ 13 contracts
Sep 11
4k4,265
CPI in August
Greater than 0.0%
91%
+ 6 contracts
Jul 24
3k3,004
US new home sales for June
Above 540,000
95%
+ 7 contracts
Oct 14
2k2,932
CPI in September
Greater than -0.1%
78%
+ 6 contracts
Dec 10
2k2,748
Inflation in November 2026 (CPI YoY)
Above 3.0%
97%
+ 20 contracts
Oct 14
2k2,571
Inflation in September 2026 (CPI YoY)
Above 3.1%
99%
+ 20 contracts
Sep 4
2k2,496
Unemployment in August
Above 4.9%
97%
+ 13 contracts
Dec 10
2k2,329
CPI in November
Greater than 0.1%
96%
+ 6 contracts
Oct 2
1k1,790
Unemployment in September
Above 3.7%
85%
+ 13 contracts
Nov 10
1k1,607
CPI in October
Greater than 0.0%
78%
+ 6 contracts
Dec 4
941941
Unemployment in November
Above 3.7%
91%
+ 13 contracts
Aug 11
652652
US existing home sales for July
Above 4.00M
68%
+ 7 contracts
Jul 16
2026 July 16 Unemployment Claims
Above 200000
0%
+ 9 contracts
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