Prediction markets
Inflation in July 2026 (CPI YoY)
Above 3.0%99%
Above 3.1%99%
Above 3.2%90%
US real GDP growth in 2026
2.1% to 2.5%26.8%
1.6% to 2.0%26.3%
1.1% to 1.5%16.0%
More tech layoffs in 2026 than in 2025
More tech layoffs In 202689.2%
CPI in July
Greater than -0.4%99%
Greater than -0.3%97%
Greater than -0.2%82%
Unemployment in July
Above 3.7%98%
Above 3.8%98%
Above 3.9%97%
2026 June Core PCE Index
Above 0.0%98%
Above 0.1%68%
Above 0.3%28%
Aug 12
239k239,587
Inflation in July 2026 (CPI YoY)
Above 3.0%
99%+ 20 contracts
Feb 28
177k177,589
US real GDP growth in 2026
2.1% to 2.5%
27%+ 13 contracts
Mar 1
163k163,751
More tech layoffs in 2026 than in 2025
More tech layoffs In 2026
89%Aug 12
107k107,930
CPI in July
Greater than -0.4%
99%+ 9 contracts
Aug 7
38k38,440
Unemployment in July
Above 3.7%
98%+ 13 contracts
Jul 30
37k37,834
2026 June Core PCE Index
Above 0.0%
98%+ 4 contracts
Aug 7
36k36,643
Jobs numbers in Jul 2026
Above -25,000
96%+ 12 contracts
Feb 28
15k15,484
US real GDP growth in 2027
2.6% to 3.0%
20%+ 13 contracts
Feb 28
11k11,545
US real GDP growth in 2028
2.6% to 3.0%
14%+ 13 contracts
Sep 11
7k7,946
Inflation in August 2026 (CPI YoY)
Above 3.0%
98%+ 20 contracts
Feb 28
7k7,622
US real GDP growth in 2029
2.1% to 2.5%
16%+ 13 contracts
Sep 11
4k4,413
CPI in August
Greater than -0.1%
88%+ 6 contracts
Nov 6
4k4,358
Unemployment in October
Above 3.7%
93%+ 13 contracts
Feb 28
4k4,320
US real GDP growth in 2030
2.6% to 3.0%
17%+ 13 contracts
Jul 24
3k3,871
US new home sales for June
Above 520,000
93%+ 7 contracts
Oct 14
2k2,943
CPI in September
Greater than -0.1%
78%+ 6 contracts
Oct 14
2k2,883
Inflation in September 2026 (CPI YoY)
Above 3.0%
99%+ 20 contracts
Dec 10
2k2,748
Inflation in November 2026 (CPI YoY)
Above 3.0%
97%+ 20 contracts
Sep 4
2k2,543
Unemployment in August
Above 4.9%
97%+ 13 contracts
Dec 10
2k2,379
CPI in November
Greater than 0.3%
99%+ 6 contracts
Oct 2
1k1,936
Unemployment in September
Above 3.7%
86%+ 13 contracts
Nov 10
1k1,637
CPI in October
Greater than 0.3%
99%+ 6 contracts
Aug 11
1k1,160
US existing home sales for July
Above 4.00M
68%+ 7 contracts
Dec 4
1k1,009
Unemployment in November
Above 3.7%
91%+ 13 contracts
Jul 23
9090
2026 July 23 Unemployment Claims
Above 225000
21%+ 9 contracts
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