Prediction markets
US real GDP growth in 2026
2.1% to 2.5%32.0%
1.6% to 2.0%28.5%
1.1% to 1.5%17.0%
More tech layoffs in 20ā26 than in 2025
More tech layoffs In 202695.1%
US real GDP growth in 2035
2.1% to 2.5%14%
1.6% to 2.0%13%
0.0% or Below12%
Inflation in September 2026 (CPI YoY)
Above 3.3%98%
Above 3.0%97%
Above 3.2%88%
Unemployment in September
Above 3.7%97%
Above 3.8%92%
Above 3.9%89%
US real GDP growth in 2033
1.1% to 1.5%49%
2.1% to 2.5%14%
1.6% to 2.0%12%
Feb 28
263k263,459
US real GDP growth in 2026
2.1% to 2.5%
32%+ 13 contracts
Mar 1
168k168,915
More tech layoffs in 20ā26 than in 2025
More tech layoffs In 2026
95%Feb 28
36k36,189
US real GDP growth in 2035
2.1% to 2.5%
14%+ 13 contracts
Oct 14
26k26,663
Inflation in September 2026 (CPI YoY)
Above 3.3%
98%+ 20 contracts
Oct 2
25k25,209
Unemployment in September
Above 3.7%
97%+ 13 contracts
Feb 28
21k21,870
US real GDP growth in 2033
1.1% to 1.5%
49%+ 13 contracts
Feb 28
18k18,035
US real GDP growth in 2034
1.6% to 2.0%
15%+ 13 contracts
Feb 28
16k16,861
US real GDP growth in 2027
2.1% to 2.5%
15%+ 13 contracts
Oct 2
13k13,317
Jobs numbers in Sep 2026
Above -25,000
91%+ 12 contracts
Oct 14
12k12,708
CPI in September
Greater than -0.3%
98%+ 10 contracts
Dec 31
11k11,950
US real GDP growth in 2036
1.6% to 2.0%
19%+ 13 contracts
Feb 28
11k11,645
US real GDP growth in 2028
2.1% to 2.5%
13%+ 13 contracts
Nov 6
9k9,966
Unemployment in October
Above 3.9%
96%+ 13 contracts
Feb 29
9k9,139
US real GDP growth in 2031
2.1% to 2.5%
15%+ 13 contracts
Feb 28
7k7,924
US real GDP growth in 2032
2.1% to 2.5%
20%+ 13 contracts
Feb 28
7k7,700
US real GDP growth in 2029
2.1% to 2.5%
16%+ 13 contracts
Feb 28
5k5,547
US real GDP growth in 2030
2.6% to 3.0%
31%+ 13 contracts
Dec 4
3k3,724
Unemployment in November
Above 3.7%
90%+ 13 contracts
Jan 28
3k3,535
US GDP growth in Q4 2026
Above 0.0%
94%+ 8 contracts
Dec 10
3k3,227
CPI in November
Greater than 0.0%
97%+ 6 contracts
Dec 10
2k2,867
Inflation in November 2026 (CPI YoY)
Above 3.2%
98%+ 20 contracts
Apr 29
2k2,737
US GDP growth in Q1 2027
Above 0.0%
84%+ 8 contracts
Nov 10
2k2,642
CPI in October
Greater than 0.0%
98%+ 6 contracts
Jul 29
1k1,311
US GDP growth in Q2 2027
Above 0.0%
95%+ 8 contracts
Oct 13
441441
US existing home sales for September
Above 3.60M
97%+ 7 contracts
Sep 24
8080
US new home sales for August
Above 540,000
96%+ 7 contracts
Sep 30
22
2026 August Core PCE Index
Above 0.1%
91%+ 4 contracts
Sep 17
2026 September 17 Unemployment Claims
Above 185000
0%+ 9 contracts
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