Prediction markets
Inflation in July 2026 (CPI YoY)
Above 3.0%99%
Above 3.1%92%
Above 3.2%89%
CPI in July
Greater than -0.2%97%
Greater than -0.3%97%
Greater than -0.4%97%
US real GDP growth in 2026
1.6% to 2.0%29.0%
2.1% to 2.5%25.9%
1.1% to 1.5%17.9%
More tech layoffs in 20ā26 than in 2025
More tech layoffs In 202690.0%
Unemployment in July
Above 3.7%99%
Above 3.8%99%
Above 3.9%97%
Jobs numbers in Jul 2026
Above -25,00095%
Above 091%
Above 10,00090%
Aug 12
537k537,737
Inflation in July 2026 (CPI YoY)
Above 3.0%
99%+ 20 contracts
Aug 12
246k246,950
CPI in July
Greater than -0.2%
97%+ 9 contracts
Feb 28
211k211,798
US real GDP growth in 2026
1.6% to 2.0%
29%+ 13 contracts
Mar 1
167k167,369
More tech layoffs in 20ā26 than in 2025
More tech layoffs In 2026
90%Aug 7
138k138,126
Unemployment in July
Above 3.7%
99%+ 13 contracts
Aug 7
109k109,380
Jobs numbers in Jul 2026
Above -25,000
95%+ 12 contracts
Feb 28
23k23,498
US real GDP growth in 2035
2.1% to 2.5%
10%+ 13 contracts
Feb 28
20k20,255
US real GDP growth in 2033
0.0% or Below
12%+ 13 contracts
Feb 28
16k16,457
US real GDP growth in 2027
2.1% to 2.5%
47%+ 13 contracts
Sep 11
15k15,201
Inflation in August 2026 (CPI YoY)
Above 2.5%
99%+ 25 contracts
Dec 31
12k12,365
US real GDP growth in 2036
1.6% to 2.0%
22%+ 13 contracts
Feb 28
11k11,543
US real GDP growth in 2028
2.6% to 3.0%
14%+ 13 contracts
Feb 28
9k9,912
US real GDP growth in 2034
0.0% or Below
9%+ 13 contracts
Feb 29
8k8,328
US real GDP growth in 2031
1.6% to 2.0%
11%+ 13 contracts
Feb 28
8k8,161
US real GDP growth in 2032
2.1% to 2.5%
13%+ 13 contracts
Feb 28
7k7,876
US real GDP growth in 2029
2.1% to 2.5%
23%+ 13 contracts
Sep 11
6k6,670
CPI in August
Greater than -0.3%
88%+ 14 contracts
Sep 4
6k6,227
Unemployment in August
Above 3.7%
95%+ 13 contracts
Oct 2
5k5,237
Unemployment in September
Above 3.7%
91%+ 13 contracts
Nov 6
4k4,979
Unemployment in October
Above 3.7%
92%+ 13 contracts
Feb 28
4k4,306
US real GDP growth in 2030
2.6% to 3.0%
17%+ 13 contracts
Oct 14
3k3,385
Inflation in September 2026 (CPI YoY)
Above 3.0%
99%+ 20 contracts
Oct 14
3k3,014
CPI in September
Greater than -0.3%
98%+ 10 contracts
Dec 10
2k2,752
Inflation in November 2026 (CPI YoY)
Above 3.0%
97%+ 20 contracts
Dec 10
2k2,450
CPI in November
Greater than 0.0%
99%+ 6 contracts
Nov 10
1k1,703
CPI in October
Greater than 0.1%
99%+ 6 contracts
Jan 28
1k1,285
US GDP growth in Q4 2026
Above 0.0%
92%+ 8 contracts
Dec 4
1k1,206
Unemployment in November
Above 3.7%
92%+ 13 contracts
Aug 11
998998
US existing home sales for July
Above 3.90M
81%+ 7 contracts
Aug 25
675675
US new home sales for July
Above 560,000
87%+ 7 contracts
Jul 29
551551
US GDP growth in Q2 2027
Above 0.0%
87%+ 8 contracts
Apr 29
457457
US GDP growth in Q1 2027
Above 0.0%
90%+ 8 contracts
Aug 26
2026 July Core PCE Index
Above 0.0%
0%+ 4 contracts
Aug 6
2026 August 6 Unemployment Claims
Above 175000
--%+ 9 contracts
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