Prediction markets

Ā 

US real GDP growth in 2026

2.1% to 2.5%28.1%
1.6% to 2.0%28.0%
1.1% to 1.5%17.0%
Ā 

Unemployment in August

Above 3.7%96%
Above 3.8%96%
Above 3.9%89%
Ā 

More tech layoffs in 20​26 than in 2025

More tech layoffs In 202691.6%
Ā 

Inflation in August 2026 (CPI YoY)

Above 2.5%99%
Above 2.6%99%
Above 2.7%99%
Ā 

CPI in August

Greater than -0.1%99%
Greater than 0.1%99%
Greater than -0.2%98%
Ā 

US real GDP growth in 2035

1.6% to 2.0%14%
2.1% to 2.5%14%
2.6% to 3.0%14%
Feb 28
253k253,634
US real GDP growth in 2026
2.1% to 2.5%
28%
+ 13 contracts
Sep 4
206k206,951
Unemployment in August
Above 3.7%
96%
+ 13 contracts
Mar 1
169k169,269
More tech layoffs in 20​26 than in 2025
More tech layoffs In 2026
92%
Sep 11
92k92,039
Inflation in August 2026 (CPI YoY)
Above 2.5%
99%
+ 25 contracts
Sep 11
70k70,176
CPI in August
Greater than -0.1%
99%
+ 14 contracts
Feb 28
35k35,350
US real GDP growth in 2035
1.6% to 2.0%
14%
+ 13 contracts
Sep 4
28k28,738
Jobs numbers in Aug 2026
Above -25,000
88%
+ 12 contracts
Feb 28
21k21,733
US real GDP growth in 2033
1.6% to 2.0%
12%
+ 13 contracts
Feb 28
16k16,707
US real GDP growth in 2027
1.6% to 2.0%
15%
+ 13 contracts
Feb 28
16k16,158
US real GDP growth in 2034
1.6% to 2.0%
12%
+ 13 contracts
Oct 2
14k14,142
Unemployment in September
Above 3.7%
93%
+ 13 contracts
Dec 31
11k11,856
US real GDP growth in 2036
1.6% to 2.0%
20%
+ 13 contracts
Feb 28
11k11,624
US real GDP growth in 2028
2.1% to 2.5%
13%
+ 13 contracts
Aug 26
9k9,871
2026 July Core PCE Index
Above 0.1%
81%
+ 4 contracts
Feb 29
8k8,819
US real GDP growth in 2031
2.1% to 2.5%
15%
+ 13 contracts
Sep 10
8k8,214
US existing home sales for August
Above 3.70M
91%
+ 7 contracts
Feb 28
7k7,924
US real GDP growth in 2032
2.1% to 2.5%
20%
+ 13 contracts
Feb 28
7k7,674
US real GDP growth in 2029
2.1% to 2.5%
16%
+ 13 contracts
Nov 6
5k5,933
Unemployment in October
Above 3.7%
92%
+ 13 contracts
Feb 28
5k5,664
US real GDP growth in 2030
2.6% to 3.0%
19%
+ 13 contracts
Oct 14
4k4,642
CPI in September
Greater than -0.2%
99%
+ 10 contracts
Oct 14
4k4,304
Inflation in September 2026 (CPI YoY)
Above 3.0%
92%
+ 20 contracts
Jan 28
3k3,608
US GDP growth in Q4 2026
Above 0.0%
94%
+ 8 contracts
Dec 10
3k3,081
CPI in November
Greater than -0.1%
92%
+ 6 contracts
Dec 10
2k2,749
Inflation in November 2026 (CPI YoY)
Above 3.2%
98%
+ 20 contracts
Apr 29
2k2,700
US GDP growth in Q1 2027
Above 0.0%
84%
+ 8 contracts
Nov 10
2k2,267
CPI in October
Greater than -0.1%
66%
+ 6 contracts
Aug 25
1k1,766
US new home sales for July
Above 580,000
95%
+ 7 contracts
Dec 4
1k1,665
Unemployment in November
Above 3.7%
90%
+ 13 contracts
Aug 27
1k1,599
2026 August 27 Unemployment Claims
Above 210000
35%
+ 9 contracts
Jul 29
1k1,313
US GDP growth in Q2 2027
Above 0.0%
95%
+ 8 contracts
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