Prediction markets
Inflation in November 2026 (CPI YoY)
Above 3.0%99%
Above 3.1%98%
Above 3.2%98%
US real GDP growth in 2026
2.1% to 2.5%77.0%
1.6% to 2.0%10.2%
2.6% to 3.0%4.9%
Inflation in December 2026 (CPI YoY)
Above 3.1%97%
Above 3.0%96%
Above 3.2%94%
CPI in November
Greater than -0.3%99%
Greater than -0.2%85%
Greater than -0.1%76%
CPI in December
Greater than -0.1%86%
Greater than 0.0%69%
Greater than 0.1%60%
US real GDP growth in 2035
2.1% to 2.5%15%
0.0% or Below14%
3.6% to 4.0%11%
Dec 10
379k379,182
Inflation in November 2026 (CPI YoY)
Above 3.0%
99%+ 20 contracts
Feb 28
306k306,900
US real GDP growth in 2026
2.1% to 2.5%
77%+ 13 contracts
Jan 13
204k204,481
Inflation in December 2026 (CPI YoY)
Above 3.1%
97%+ 20 contracts
Dec 10
146k146,759
CPI in November
Greater than -0.3%
99%+ 8 contracts
Jan 13
71k71,408
CPI in December
Greater than -0.1%
86%+ 10 contracts
Feb 28
34k34,374
US real GDP growth in 2035
2.1% to 2.5%
15%+ 13 contracts
Dec 4
33k33,667
Unemployment in November
Above 3.7%
99%+ 13 contracts
Feb 28
21k21,604
US real GDP growth in 2033
1.6% to 2.0%
16%+ 13 contracts
Feb 28
17k17,852
US real GDP growth in 2034
0.0% or Below
16%+ 13 contracts
Feb 28
16k16,493
US real GDP growth in 2027
2.1% to 2.5%
17%+ 13 contracts
Dec 31
14k14,683
US real GDP growth in 2036
1.6% to 2.0%
18%+ 13 contracts
Feb 28
11k11,689
US real GDP growth in 2028
2.1% to 2.5%
13%+ 13 contracts
Nov 12
10k10,432
2026 November 12 Unemployment Claims
Above 180000
89%+ 11 contracts
Feb 29
9k9,020
US real GDP growth in 2031
1.6% to 2.0%
12%+ 13 contracts
Feb 28
8k8,420
US real GDP growth in 2032
2.1% to 2.5%
10%+ 13 contracts
Feb 28
7k7,702
US real GDP growth in 2029
2.1% to 2.5%
16%+ 13 contracts
Feb 28
7k7,372
US real GDP growth in 2030
2.1% to 2.5%
16%+ 13 contracts
Jan 28
6k6,626
US GDP growth in Q4 2026
Above 0.0%
94%+ 8 contracts
Nov 25
4k4,856
US new home · Sales in October
Above 600,000
92%+ 7 contracts
Dec 4
4k4,114
Jobs numbers in Nov 2026
Above -25,000
95%+ 12 contracts
Nov 12
3k3,886
US existing home sales for October
Above 3.60M
97%+ 7 contracts
Apr 29
2k2,842
US GDP growth in Q1 2027
Above 0.0%
95%+ 8 contracts
Jul 29
1k1,480
US GDP growth in Q2 2027
Above 0.0%
93%+ 8 contracts
Nov 25
278278
2026 October Core PCE Index
Above 0.2%
48%+ 6 contracts
Nov 19
2026 November 19 Unemployment Claims
Above 165000
--%+ 10 contracts
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