Prediction markets

Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair?

Kevin Warsh45%
Kevin Hassett36%
Christopher Waller11%
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Kevin Warsh - 45¢Kevin Hassett - 36¢Christopher Waller - 11¢
Jan 28 @ 3:00 PM

Fed decision in Jan 2026

Fed maintains rate95%
Cut 25bps5%
Cut >25bps1%
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Fed maintains rate - 95¢Cut 25bps - 5¢Cut >25bps - 1¢
Jan 28 @ 3:00 PM

Fed funds rate after Jan 2026 meeting

Above 2.75%99%
Above 3.25%99%
Above 3.50%97%
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>2.75% - 99¢>3.25% - 99¢>3.50% - 97¢
Jan 20
17.91M17,905,759
Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair?
Kevin Warsh
45%
+ 22 contracts
Jan 28
7.79M7,792,255
Fed decision in Jan 2026
Fed maintains rate
95%
+ 4 contracts
Jan 28
361k361,244
Fed funds rate after Jan 2026 meeting
Above 2.75%
99%
+ 10 contracts
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