Prediction markets

Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair?

Kevin Warsh94%
Judy Shelton4%
Arthur Laffer1%
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Kevin Warsh - 94¢Judy Shelton - 4¢Arthur Laffer - 1¢
Mar 18 @ 12:00 PM

Fed decision in Mar 2026

Fed maintains rate94%
Cut 25bps6%
Cut >25bps2%
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Fed maintains rate - 94¢Cut 25bps - 6¢Cut >25bps - 2¢

Fed decision in Apr 2026

Fed maintains rate79%
Cut 25bps22%
Cut >25bps4%
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Fed maintains rate - 79¢Cut 25bps - 22¢Cut >25bps - 4¢

Fed decision in Jun 2026

Cut 25bps58%
Fed maintains rate42%
Cut >25bps11%
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Cut 25bps - 58¢Fed maintains rate - 42¢Cut >25bps - 11¢
Mar 18 @ 5:00 AM

Number of Dissenting FOMC Members March 18 2026

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Apr 29 @ 5:00 AM

Number of Dissenting FOMC Members April 29 2026

0 dissents0%
1 dissents0%
2 dissents0%
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0 dissents - 0¢1 dissents - 0¢2 dissents - 0¢
Jan 20
97.63M97,631,140
Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair?
Kevin Warsh
94%
+ 22 contracts
Mar 18
7.48M7,475,959
Fed decision in Mar 2026
Fed maintains rate
94%
+ 4 contracts
Apr 29
143k143,577
Fed decision in Apr 2026
Fed maintains rate
79%
+ 4 contracts
Jun 17
52k52,266
Fed decision in Jun 2026
Cut 25bps
58%
+ 4 contracts
Mar 18
1k1,380
Number of Dissenting FOMC Members March 18 2026
2 dissents
42%
+ 4 contracts
Apr 29
Number of Dissenting FOMC Members April 29 2026
0 dissents
0%
+ 4 contracts
Jun 17
Number of Dissenting FOMC Members June 17 2026
0 dissents
--%
+ 4 contracts
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