Prediction markets
May 26 @ 12:30 PM
Texas Republican Senate nominee
Ken Paxton38%
John Cornyn60%
Mar 3 @ 1:00 PM
Texas Senate Democratic primary margin of victory
Talarico, 6-9%96%
Talarico, 3-6%2%
Crockett, 0-3%1%
Mar 3 @ 1:00 PM
Texas Senate Democratic primary turnout
Above 1,000,00099%
Above 1,100,00099%
Above 1,200,00099%
May 26 @ 12:30 PM
2026 Texas Senate matchup
Talarico vs. Paxton41%
Talarico vs. Cornyn61%
Mar 3 @ 1:00 PM
Texas Senate Republican primary margin of victory
John Cornyn, 0-3%99%
Ken Paxton, 3-6%2%
John Cornyn, 3-6%1%
Mar 3 @ 1:00 PM
Texas Senate primary: Democrats have higher turnout than Republicans
Dem turnout > Rep turnout99%
May 26
3.24M3,242,132
Texas Republican Senate nominee
John Cornyn
60%+ 4 contracts
Mar 3
2.58M2,580,066
Texas Senate Democratic primary margin of victory
Talarico, 6-9%
96%+ 10 contracts
Mar 3
1.51M1,510,350
Texas Senate Democratic primary turnout
Above 1,000,000
99%+ 21 contracts
May 26
1.31M1,313,319
2026 Texas Senate matchup
Talarico vs. Cornyn
61%+ 5 contracts
Mar 3
227k227,978
Texas Senate Republican primary margin of victory
John Cornyn, 0-3%
99%+ 8 contracts
Mar 3
120k120,323
Texas Senate primary: Democrats have higher turnout than Republicans
Democrats have higher turnout than Republicans
99%Mar 3
105k105,575
Larger margin of victory: Texas Senate Dem or GOP primary
Republican primary
1%+ 1 contracts
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