Prediction markets / Elections / California

California Governor primary first place candidate

Xavier Becerra49¢
Tom Steyer24¢
Steve Hilton23¢
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1W
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Timeline

Trading hours
24 hours a day, except Thursday 3AM-5AM ET
Event day
June 2, 2026
Contract resolves
Determines the outcome of the contract
Payout
Usually within 1 hour of event resolution

About

Which candidate will finish in 1st place in the 2026 California Governor primary election? This market resolves based solely on the primary election results, not any subsequent general election. Ranking is determined by the specified counting method. For plurality voting: rank is based on vote count or percentage. For ranked choice voting: rank is determined by elimination order (runner-up is eliminated in final round for second place). For two-round systems: rank is based on final round results if it proceeds to second round, otherwise first-round totals. For proportional representation: rank follows the electoral authority's final seat allocation order. In case of exact ties, markets resolve proportionally (1/number of tied entities). Write-in candidates achieving the specified rank resolve all named candidate markets to No unless a specific "Write-in" or "Other" option exists. Candidates who withdraw or are disqualified after the filing deadline but remain on the ballot are ranked based on votes received. If the election is cancelled or postponed beyond expiration, all markets resolve to No. Get $1 for every contract you own if your prediction is correct. Or close your position before the event resolves. Additional fees apply. Read the full contract terms and conditions

Trading prohibitions

  • Persons who are employed by any of the Source Agencies are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
  • Persons who hold any material, non-public information on the Underlying are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
  • Any candidate currently listed as a market within this event

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