Prediction markets / Midterms / Control of Congress

FL-04 Republican nominee

Aaron Bean99¢
Anthony Valerio1¢
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1D
1W
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Timeline

Event day
August 18, 2026
Contract resolves
Determines the outcome of the contract
Payout
Usually within 1 hour of event resolution

About

Who will be the FL-04 Republican nominee Get $1 for every contract you own if your prediction is correct. Or close your position before the event resolves. Additional fees apply. Read the full contract terms and conditions

Trading prohibitions

  • Holders of federal and statewide public office.
  • Anyone working in a vote-tallying capacity, or who has the potential ability to observe official vote counts before they are public.
  • Anyone working in a vote-tallying capacity.
  • Third-party vendors and contractors (and employees thereof) of House campaigns.
  • Paid employees of Democratic and Republican Party organizations,
  • Paid employees of Political Action Committees (PACs) and "Super PACs"
  • Paid employees of major polling organizations.
  • Employees of Decision Desks at major media organizations
  • All staff of the U.S. House of Representatives and its members.
  • All staff of the U.S. Senate and its members.
  • All staff of the Office of the President of the United States
  • All staff of the Office of the Vice President of the United States
  • All staff of the U.S. Supreme Court and its Justices

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