Prediction markets / Midterms / Control of Congress

How many Senate seats will Democrats hold after the Midterms? (Higher strikes)

Below 53 seats82¢
53 seats9.0¢
54 seats5.0¢
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1W
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Timeline

Trading hours
24 hours a day, except Thursday 3AM-5AM ET
Event day
November 3, 2026
Contract resolves
Determines the outcome of the contract
Payout
Usually within 1 hour of event resolution

About

How many Senate seats will Democrats hold after the Midterms? (Higher strikes)Get $1 for every contract you own if your prediction is correct. Or close your position before the event resolves. Additional fees apply. Read the full contract terms and conditions

Trading prohibitions

  • Holders of federal and statewide public office.
  • Paid campaign staffers on House and Senate campaigns.
  • Anyone working in a vote-tallying capacity, or who has the potential ability to observe official vote counts before they are public.
  • Third-party vendors and contractors (and employees thereof) of Congressional campaigns.
  • Paid employees of Democratic and Republican Party organizations, such as the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee or the Republican National Committee.
  • Paid employees of Political Action Committees (PACs) and “Super PACs” (independent expenditure only political committees).
  • Paid employees of major polling organizations.
  • Employees of Decision Desks at major media organizations.
  • All staff of the U.S. House of Representatives and its members.
  • All staff of the U.S. Senate and its members.
  • All staff of the Office of the President of the United States.
  • All staff of the Office of the Vice President of the United States.
  • All staff of the U.S. Supreme Court and its Justices.
  • Persons who are employed by any of the Source Agencies are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
  • Persons who hold any material, non-public information on the Underlying are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
  • Any candidate currently listed as a market within this event

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