Prediction markets / Midterms / Control of Congress

How many Senate seats will Democrats hold after the Midterms

Above 52 seats36¢
51 seats16¢
52 seats15¢
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Timeline

Trading hours
24 hours a day, except Thursday 3AM-5AM ET
Event day
November 3, 2026
Contract resolves
Determines the outcome of the contract
Payout
Usually within 1 hour of event resolution

About

How many Senate seats will Democrats hold after the MidtermsIndividuals caucusing with either party will be included with them (e.g. an Independent who caucuses with a party, like Vermont Senator Bernie Sanders who caucuses with the Democrats, would be counted as a Democrat).Get $1 for every contract you own if your prediction is correct. Or close your position before the event resolves. Additional fees apply. Read the full contract terms and conditions

Trading prohibitions

  • Holders of federal and statewide public office.
  • Paid campaign staffers on House and Senate campaigns.
  • Anyone working in a vote-tallying capacity, or who has the potential ability to observe official vote counts before they are public.
  • Third-party vendors and contractors (and employees thereof) of Congressional campaigns.
  • Paid employees of Democratic and Republican Party organizations,
  • Paid employees of Political Action Committees (PACs) and "Super PACs"
  • Paid employees of major polling organizations.
  • Employees of Decision Desks at major media organizations
  • All staff of the U.S. House of Representatives and its members.
  • All staff of the U.S. Senate and its members.
  • All staff of the Office of the President of the United States
  • All staff of the Office of the Vice President of the United States
  • All staff of the U.S. Supreme Court and its Justices

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