Prediction markets / Midterms / Control of Congress

Louisiana's 6th District margin of victory

Democrats, 31+ pts18¢

Democrats, 19+ pts9.9¢

Democrats, 16+ pts9.8¢

LIVE

MAX

Select a contract

Democrats, 31+ pts

18¢

Democrats, 19+ pts

9.9¢

Democrats, 16+ pts

9.8¢

Democrats, 10+ pts

6.3¢

Democrats, 13+ pts

5.4¢

Timeline

Trading hours

24 hours a day, except Thursday 3AM-5AM ET

Event day

November 3, 2026

Contract resolves

Determines the outcome of the contract

Payout

Usually within 1 hour of event resolution

About

What will be the Louisiana's 6th District margin of victory?The margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.For percentage points: the vote percentage received by the Democratic Party minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind the Democratic Party if the Democratic Party wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if the Democratic Party loses.Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound. No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If the Democratic Party runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying natural the Democratic Party will be summed.If the Democratic Party wins the election, the margin will be positive. If the Democratic Party loses the election, the margin will be negative. If the Democratic Party ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. For uncontested races where the Democratic Party is the only candidate, the margin shall be 100 percentage points or the total number of votes cast (for raw votes).Get $1 for every contract you own if your prediction is correct. Or close your position before the event resolves. Additional fees apply. Read the full contract terms and conditions

Trading prohibitions

Persons who are employed by any of the Source Agencies are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
Persons who hold any material, non-public information on the Underlying are not permitted to trade on the Contract.

Arizona's 3rd District margin of victory

Connecticut 02 House General Election: voter turnout

WI-05 House winner

Colorado Senate margin of victory

Oklahoma's 3rd District margin of victory

AZ-03 House winner

NY-19 House winner

Party to win the PA-08 House race

MN-03 House winner

California 41 House General Election: voter turnout

North Carolina 02 House General Election: voter turnout

Restrictions and eligibility requirements apply. Futures, options on futures and cleared swaps trading involves significant risk and is not appropriate for everyone. Please carefully consider if it is appropriate for you in light of your personal financial circumstances.

Read the Event Contracts Risk Disclosure for more information about the risks associated with event contracts.

Live data is for informational purposes only. It maybe delayed or incorrect.

Event contracts are offered by Robinhood Derivatives, LLC through either KalshiEX LLC, ForecastEX, LLC or Rothera Exchange and Clearing LLC.