Prediction markets

Mar 3 @ 1:00 PM

Texas Democratic Senate nominee

James Talarico99%
Ahmad Hassan1%
Beto O'Rourke1%
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James Talarico - 99¢Ahmad Hassan - 1¢Beto O'Rourke - 1¢
Mar 3 @ 1:00 PM

Texas Senate Democratic primary margin of victory

Talarico, 3-6%76%
Talarico, 6-9%25%
Talarico, 0-3%2%
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Talarico, 3-6% - 76¢Talarico, 6-9% - 25¢Talarico, 0-3% - 2¢
Mar 3 @ 1:00 PM

Texas Republican Senate nominee

Ken Paxton52%
John Cornyn48%
Beth Van Duyne1%
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Ken Paxton - 52¢John Cornyn - 48¢Beth Van Duyne - 1¢
Mar 3 @ 1:00 PM

2026 Texas Senate matchup

Talarico vs. Cornyn52%
Talarico vs. Paxton51%
Crockett vs. Cornyn1%
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Talarico vs. Cornyn - 52¢Talarico vs. Paxton - 51¢Crockett vs. Cornyn - 1¢
Mar 3 @ 1:00 PM

Texas Senate Democratic primary turnout

Above 1,000,00099%
Above 1,100,00099%
Above 1,200,00099%
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Above 1,000,000 - 99¢Above 1,100,000 - 99¢Above 1,200,000 - 99¢
Mar 3 @ 1:00 PM

TX-02 Republican nominee

Steve Toth99%
Dan Crenshaw1%
Martin Etwop1%
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Steve Toth - 99¢Dan Crenshaw - 1¢Martin Etwop - 1¢
Mar 3
7.69M7,687,253
Texas Democratic Senate nominee
James Talarico
99%
+ 11 contracts
Mar 3
2.44M2,437,180
Texas Senate Democratic primary margin of victory
Talarico, 3-6%
76%
+ 10 contracts
Mar 3
2.13M2,127,871
Texas Republican Senate nominee
Ken Paxton
52%
+ 4 contracts
Mar 3
1.38M1,375,856
2026 Texas Senate matchup
Talarico vs. Cornyn
52%
+ 5 contracts
Mar 3
762k762,375
Texas Senate Democratic primary turnout
Above 1,000,000
99%
+ 21 contracts
Mar 3
165k165,889
TX-02 Republican nominee
Steve Toth
99%
+ 3 contracts
Mar 3
149k149,928
Texas Senate Republican primary margin of victory
John Cornyn, 0-3%
67%
+ 8 contracts
Mar 3
129k129,242
Texas Senate primary: Democrats have higher turnout than Republicans
Democrats have higher turnout than Republicans
95%
Mar 3
61k61,330
Larger margin of victory: Texas Senate Dem or GOP primary
Republican primary
1%
+ 1 contracts
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