30-year U.S. Treasury Up or Down – 15 minutes

Target yield: TBD or above1¢
1D
1W
MAX

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Timeline

Contract resolves
Determines the outcome of the contract
Payout
Usually within 1 hour of event resolution

About

Will the yield of the 30-year U.S. Treasury be at or above the TBD target yield at the end of the 15-minute window?Outcome verified from PythThe market resolves based on the closing yield of the one-minute Pyth candlestick for 30-year U.S. Treasury ending at 4:45 PM EDT on Oct 28, 2026. The 30-year U.S. Treasury refers to the US30Y, the current on-the-run benchmark of the 30-year U.S. Treasury Bond as identified on the Source Agency. Revisions to the Underlying made after Expiration will not be accounted for in determining the Expiration Value.The settlement value is rounded to the nearest 5 decimal places.Yields are expressed as annualized percentages.The opening target and settlement yield each use the closing yield of the one-minute Pyth candlestick immediately preceding their observation time. For a 4:45–5:00 PM EDT market, the opening target uses the candle timestamped 4:44 PM, ending at 4:45 PM; settlement uses the candle timestamped 4:59 PM, ending at 5:00 PM. Candlesticks are timestamped by their start time.If reliable Pyth data is unavailable, the contract’s no-data provisions apply. Get $1 for every contract you own if your prediction is correct. Or close your position before the event resolves. Additional fees apply. Read the full contract terms and conditions

Trading prohibitions

  • Persons who are employed by any of the Source Agencies are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
  • Persons who hold any material, non-public information on the Underlying are not permitted to trade on the Contract.

Similar events

Restrictions and eligibility requirements apply. Futures, options on futures and cleared swaps trading involves significant risk and is not appropriate for everyone. Please carefully consider if it is appropriate for you in light of your personal financial circumstances.
Read the Event Contracts Risk Disclosure for more information about the risks associated with event contracts.
Live data is for informational purposes only. It maybe delayed or incorrect.
Event contracts are offered by Robinhood Derivatives, LLC through either KalshiEX LLC, ForecastEX, LLC, Rothera Exchange and Clearing LLC, or North American Derivatives Exchange, Inc.