AI regulation becomes federal law in 2025
Before Dec 31, 20252¢
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Before Dec 31, 2025
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Will AI regulation become federal law this year? If a bill becomes law regulating large language models (for example, banning them, limiting how they can be trained, or limiting how they can be used) by Dec 31, 2025, then the market resolves to Yes. Note: On May 19, 2025, President Trump signed the "TAKE IT DOWN Act", which criminalizes the publication of non-consensual intimate visual depictions. It notes that such depictions may be created (among other means) by artificial intelligence. This did NOT resolve the market to Yes, and it has remained open. The bill only pertains to the publication of digital forgeries; this does not regulate the creation, training, use, or export of large language models. A bill banning the creation of such images using large language models would be an example of a bill that would resolve the market to Yes. Get $1 for every contract you own if your prediction is correct. Or close your position before the event resolves. Additional fees apply. Read the full contract terms and conditions
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