What will the U.S. tariff rate on China be on January 1, 2026

Between 20% and 29.99%93¢
Between 10% and 19.99%
Between 40% and 49.99%
LIVE
1D
1W
MAX

Select a contract

Timeline

Trading hours
24 hours a day, except Thursday 3AM-5AM ET
Contract resolves
Determines the outcome of the contract
Payout
Usually within 1 hour of event resolution

About

What will be the general import tariff rate on imports from the People's Republic of China (PRC) into the United States on January 1, 2026? The market resolves based on the general import tariff rate that is actually in effect on the specified date. This includes both universal tariffs on all U.S. imports and country-specific tariffs on the specified country. Only tariffs that are currently active and being collected count - announced but not implemented tariffs, paused tariffs, or suspended tariffs do not qualify. The tariff rate refers to the general baseline rate, not including product-specific duties or exemptions. If multiple general rates apply, the highest rate in effect determines the resolution. Get $1 for every contract you own if your prediction is correct. Or close your position before the event resolves. Additional fees apply. Read the full contract terms and conditions

Similar events

Restrictions and eligibility requirements apply. Futures, options on futures and cleared swaps trading involves significant risk and is not appropriate for everyone. Please carefully consider if it is appropriate for you in light of your personal financial circumstances.
Read the Event Contracts Risk Disclosure for more information about the risks associated with event contracts.
Live data is for informational purposes only. It maybe delayed or incorrect.
Event contracts are offered by Robinhood Derivatives, LLC through either KalshiEX LLC or ForecastEX, LLC.