Prediction markets

Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair?

Kevin Hassett53%
Kevin Warsh28%
Christopher Waller17%
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Kevin Hassett - 53¢Kevin Warsh - 28¢Christopher Waller - 17¢

Powell out as Chair

Before Jan 1, 20261%
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Before Jan 1, 2026 - 1¢

Will the Fed do a rate cut of more than 25bps in 2025

Large rate cut in 20251%
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Large rate cut in 2025 - 1¢

When will Trump announce his new Chair of the Federal Reserve?

Before Feb 190%
Before January 1574%
Before 202612%
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Before Feb 1 - 90¢Before January 15 - 74¢Before 2026 - 12¢

Lisa Cook Out as Fed Governor in 2025

Before Jan 1, 20261%
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Before Jan 1, 2026 - 1¢
Jan 20
7.17M7,172,281
Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair?
Kevin Hassett
53%
+ 22 contracts
May 1
1.15M1,151,234
Powell out as Chair
Before Jan 1, 2026
1%
+ 3 contracts
Jan 1
411k411,233
Will the Fed do a rate cut of more than 25bps in 2025
Large rate cut in 2025
1%
Feb 1
380k380,174
When will Trump announce his new Chair of the Federal Reserve?
Before Feb 1
90%
+ 3 contracts
Jan 1
317k317,317
Lisa Cook Out as Fed Governor in 2025
Before Jan 1, 2026
1%
+ 2 contracts
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