Prediction markets

 

Will Trump buy at least part of Greenland?

Before January 20, 202924.8%
Before 202710%
Before Jul 1, 20263%
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Before January 20, 2029 - 24.8¢Before 2027 - 10¢Before Jul 1, 2026 - 3¢
 

Will the SAVE Act become law

Before Jan 4, 202710.9%
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Before Jan 4, 2027 - 10.9¢
 

How long will the government shutdown last?

At least 50 days77%
At least 55 days55%
At least 60 days30%
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At least 50 days - 77¢At least 55 days - 55¢At least 60 days - 30¢
 

Who will leave the Trump administration in 2026

Lori Chavez-DeRemer75%
Pam Bondi73%
Tulsi Gabbard64%
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Lori Chavez-DeRemer - 75¢Pam Bondi - 73¢Tulsi Gabbard - 64¢
 

Will Americans receive tariff stimulus checks?

Before 202715%
Before August7%
Before July5%
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Before 2027 - 15¢Before August - 7¢Before July - 5¢
 

Will crypto market structure legislation become law

Before 202754%
Before August29%
Before July18%
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Before 2027 - 54¢Before August - 29¢Before July - 18¢
Jan 20
1.42M1,415,772
Will Trump buy at least part of Greenland?
Before January 20, 2029
25%
+ 3 contracts
Jan 4
1.29M1,291,881
Will the SAVE Act become law
Before Jan 4, 2027
11%
Feb 14
4.58M4,582,109
How long will the government shutdown last?
At least 50 days
77%
+ 27 contracts
Jan 1
1.20M1,203,137
Who will leave the Trump administration in 2026
Lori Chavez-DeRemer
75%
+ 36 contracts
Jan 1
1.17M1,167,483
Will Americans receive tariff stimulus checks?
Before 2027
15%
+ 8 contracts
Feb 1
406k406,457
Will crypto market structure legislation become law
Before 2027
54%
+ 6 contracts
Nov 3
125k125,804
Will the California billionaire wealth tax pass?
Billionaire tax passes
34%
Jan 1
87k87,342
Will credit card rates be capped this year?
Before 2027
11%
Jan 1
633k633,475
Will the ACA premium tax credits be extended this year?
Before Jan 1, 2027
12%
+ 4 contracts
Jan 21
31k31,625
Will members of Congress be banned from trading stocks
Before Jan 21, 2029
64%
+ 1 contracts
Jan 1
29k29,482
Will legislation restricting institutional single-family home investment become law this year?
Before Jan 1, 2027
62%
May 1
2k2,585
Will Trump order tariffs in Apr 2026
Yes
67%
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