Prediction markets

Feb 14 @ 3:00 PM

How long will the government shutdown last

At least 30 days99%
At least 35 days96%
At least 40 days89%
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At least 30 days - 99¢At least 35 days - 96¢At least 40 days - 89¢

Who will leave the Trump administration in 2026

Kristi Noem99%
Lori Chavez-DeRemer61%
Amy Gleason57%
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Kristi Noem - 99¢Lori Chavez-DeRemer - 61¢Amy Gleason - 57¢

Will Americans receive tariff stimulus checks?

Before 202718%
Before August9%
Before July6%
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Before 2027 - 18¢Before August - 9¢Before July - 6¢

Will crypto market structure legislation become law

Before 202762%
Before June44%
Before May7%
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Before 2027 - 62¢Before June - 44¢Before May - 7¢

Will the California billionaire wealth tax pass?

Billionaire tax passes35%
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Billionaire tax passes - 35¢

Will the ACA premium tax credits be extended this year?

Before Jan 1, 202713%
Before Apr 1, 20261%
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Before Jan 1, 2027 - 13¢Before Apr 1, 2026 - 1¢
Feb 14
2.42M2,421,483
How long will the government shutdown last
At least 30 days
99%
+ 20 contracts
Jan 1
929k929,684
Who will leave the Trump administration in 2026
Kristi Noem
99%
+ 35 contracts
Jan 1
1.08M1,075,845
Will Americans receive tariff stimulus checks?
Before 2027
18%
+ 8 contracts
Jan 1
226k226,943
Will crypto market structure legislation become law
Before 2027
62%
+ 4 contracts
Nov 3
129k129,858
Will the California billionaire wealth tax pass?
Billionaire tax passes
35%
Jan 1
630k630,333
Will the ACA premium tax credits be extended this year?
Before Jan 1, 2027
13%
+ 4 contracts
Jan 1
83k83,692
Will credit card rates be capped this year?
Before 2027
18%
Jan 21
30k30,083
Will members of Congress be banned from trading stocks
Before Jan 21, 2029
58%
+ 1 contracts
Jan 1
29k29,568
Will legislation restricting institutional single-family home investment become law this year?
Before Jan 1, 2027
70%
Apr 1
15k15,846
Will Trump order more tariffs in Mar 2026
Yes
56%
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