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Florida Republican Governor primary: James Fishback vote percent

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Who will advance from Alaska's top-four primary for Governor

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Michigan Democratic Senate primary margin of victory

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Will James Fishback receive at least 30% of the popular vote in the 2026 Florida Republican Senate primary?

At least 30%

Will James Fishback receive at least 20% of the popular vote in the 2026 Florida Republican Senate primary?

At least 20%

Will James Fishback receive at least 11% of the popular vote in the 2026 Florida Republican gubernatorial primary?

At least 11%

Will James Fishback receive at least 9% of the popular vote in the 2026 Florida Republican Governor primary?

At least 9%

Will James Fishback receive at least 8% of the popular vote in the 2026 Florida Republican gubernatorial primary?

At least 8%

Will James Fishback receive at least 7% of the popular vote in the 2026 Florida Republican gubernatorial primary?

At least 7%

Will James Fishback receive at least 6% of the popular vote in the 2026 Florida Republican gubernatorial primary?

At least 6%

Will James Fishback receive at least 10% of the popular vote in the 2026 Florida Republican Senate primary?

At least 10%

Will James Fishback receive at least 5% of the popular vote in the 2026 Florida Republican Senate primary?

At least 5%

Will James Fishback receive at least 3% of the popular vote in the 2026 Florida Republican Senate primary?

At least 3%

Will James Fishback receive at least 1% of the popular vote in the 2026 Florida Republican Senate primary?

At least 1%

Will James Fishback receive at least 15% of the popular vote in the 2026 Florida Republican Senate primary?

At least 15%

Will James Fishback receive at least 14% of the popular vote in the 2026 Florida Republican Governor primary?

At least 14%

Will James Fishback receive at least 13% of the popular vote in the 2026 Florida Republican gubernatorial primary?

At least 13%

Will James Fishback receive at least 12% of the popular vote in the 2026 Florida Republican Governor primary?

At least 12%

Florida Republican Governor primary: James Fishback vote percent? The percentage is calculated as (total votes received by the specified person/party ÷ total valid votes cast) × 100, rounded to the specified decimal places. Resolution is based on certified/official results only, not preliminary results. Write-in votes are included if they appear in certified results. Invalid, spoiled, or rejected ballots are excluded from both numerator and denominator. If multiple rounds of voting occur (e.g., ranked choice voting), the percentage is based on the specified round or the first round if not specified. If the election is cancelled, postponed beyond the market expiration, or no certified results are available by expiration, the market resolves to No. If a recount changes the certified percentage before expiration, the most recent certified percentage is used. Get $1 for every contract you own if your prediction is correct. Or close your position before the event resolves. Additional fees apply. Read the full [contract terms and conditions](https://kalshi-public-docs.s3.amazonaws.com/contract_terms/VOTEPERCENT.pdf)

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Who will be the FL-11 Republican nominee Get $1 for every contract you own if your prediction is correct. Or close your position before the event resolves. Additional fees apply. Read the full [contract terms and conditions](https://kalshi-public-docs.s3.amazonaws.com/contract_terms/HOUSEPARTYNOMINATION.pdf)

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In 2026, who will be the South Carolina Republican Senate special primary winner?

This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details.

See full rules for details. Get $1 for every contract you own if your prediction is correct. Or close your position before the event resolves. Additional fees apply. Read the full [contract terms and conditions](https://kalshi-public-docs.s3.amazonaws.com/contract_terms/USELECTION.pdf)

Will the margin of victory for Abdul El-Sayed in the 2026 Michigan Democratic Senate primary be between 0% and 3%?

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Will the margin of victory for Abdul El-Sayed in the 2026 Michigan Democratic Senate primary be between 3% and 6%?

Abdul El-Sayed, 3-6%

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Haley Stevens, 12-15%

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Will the margin of victory for Abdul El-Sayed in the 2026 Michigan Democratic Senate primary be between 9% and 12%?

Abdul El-Sayed, 9-12%

Will the margin of victory for Abdul El-Sayed in the 2026 Michigan Democratic Senate primary be between 12% and 15%?

Abdul El-Sayed, 12-15%

Will the margin of victory for Abdul El-Sayed in the 2026 Michigan Democratic Senate primary be above 15%?

Abdul El-Sayed, ≥15%

Will the margin of victory for Haley Stevens in the 2026 Michigan Democratic Senate primary be between 0% and 3%?

Haley Stevens, 0-3%

Will the margin of victory for Haley Stevens in the 2026 Michigan Democratic Senate primary be between 3% and 6%?

Haley Stevens, 3-6%

Will the margin of victory for Haley Stevens in the 2026 Michigan Democratic Senate primary be between 6% and 9%?

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Will the margin of victory for Haley Stevens in the 2026 Michigan Democratic Senate primary be between 9% and 12%?

Haley Stevens, 9-12%

Michigan Democratic Senate primary margin of victory 
**The margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type:**

**For percentage points:**
- The vote percentage received by the specified candidate minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind the specified candidate if they win, or the candidate/party that finishes first if they lose.

**For raw votes:**
- The total votes received by the specified candidate minus the total votes received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind the specified candidate if they win, or the candidate/party/option that finishes first if they lose.

**For electoral votes:**
- The electoral votes received by the specified candidate minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the second-most electoral votes if they win, or the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the most electoral votes if they do not win.

---

**Range Rules:**
- Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound.
- No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin.

**Example:**
- A margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5–6% range  
- A margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6–7% range  

**Additional Rules:**
- If the specified candidate runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying candidate will be summed.

- If the specified candidate wins the election, the margin will be positive.
- If the specified candidate loses the election, the margin will be negative.
- If the specified candidate ties for first place, the margin shall be 0.

- For uncontested races where the specified candidate is the only candidate, the margin shall be:
  - 100 percentage points, or  
  - the total number of votes cast (for raw votes).

Get $1 for every contract you own if your prediction is correct. Or close your position before the event resolves. Additional fees apply. Read the full [contract terms and conditions](https://assets.kalshi.com/contract_terms/ELECTIONMOV.pdf)

Will Adam Miller win the 2026 Los Angeles Mayoral election?

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Who will win the Los Angeles Mayoral Election in 2026? Get $1 for every contract you own if your prediction is correct. Or close your position before the event resolves. Additional fees apply. Read the full [contract terms and conditions](https://kalshi-public-docs.s3.amazonaws.com/contract_terms/USELECTION.pdf)

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Who will be the Massachusetts Democratic Senate nominee Get $1 for every contract you own if your prediction is correct. Or close your position before the event resolves. Additional fees apply. Read the full [contract terms and conditions](https://kalshi-public-docs.s3.amazonaws.com/contract_terms/SENATEPARTYNOM.pdf)

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Who will be the MA-06 Democratic nominee Get $1 for every contract you own if your prediction is correct. Or close your position before the event resolves. Additional fees apply. Read the full [contract terms and conditions](https://kalshi-public-docs.s3.amazonaws.com/contract_terms/HOUSEPARTYNOM.pdf)

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Who will be the MA-08 Democratic nominee Get $1 for every contract you own if your prediction is correct. Or close your position before the event resolves. Additional fees apply. Read the full [contract terms and conditions](https://assets.kalshi.com/contract_terms/HOUSEPARTYNOMINATION.pdf)

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Who will be the MA-01 Democratic nominee Get $1 for every contract you own if your prediction is correct. Or close your position before the event resolves. Additional fees apply. Read the full [contract terms and conditions](https://assets.kalshi.com/contract_terms/HOUSEPARTYNOMINATION.pdf)

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