Best AI at the end of 2025

Gemini87¢
ChatGPT14¢
Grok4¢
LIVE
1D
1W
MAX

Select a contract

Timeline

Trading hours
24 hours a day, except Thursday 3AM-5AM ET
Contract resolves
Determines the outcome of the contract
Payout
Usually within 1 hour of event resolution

About

Who will have the top-ranked LLM on Dec 31, 2025? Outcome verified from LM Arena Leaderboard (Remove Style Controls). If two models are tied under Rank (UB), then all the strikes for this market will resolve to No. This event is not affected by the amendment that is effective in April 2025. Note: this event is mutually exclusive. Get $1 for every contract you own if your prediction is correct. Or close your position before the event resolves. Additional fees apply. Read the full contract terms and conditions

Similar events

Will a Chinese AI model reach #1 this year?
Will an AI generated song be on the Billboard Hot 100?
Will RFK end any vaccine approvals this year?
How many launches will SpaceX have this year?
Will the U.S. confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
New pandemic this year?
Will OpenAI raise the cost of ChatGPT this year?
How many cities will Waymo be operating in at the end of 2025?
Will an LLM beat a grandmaster in chess this year?
Measles cases this year?
Which companies will have a #1 AI model this year?
Will Rocket Lab's Neutron rocket reach orbit this year?
Restrictions and eligibility requirements apply. Futures, options on futures and cleared swaps trading involves significant risk and is not appropriate for everyone. Please carefully consider if it is appropriate for you in light of your personal financial circumstances.
Read the Event Contracts Risk Disclosure for more information about the risks associated with event contracts.
Live data is for informational purposes only. It maybe delayed or incorrect.
Event contracts are offered by Robinhood Derivatives, LLC through either KalshiEX LLC or ForecastEX, LLC.