AI capability growth this year?

At least 1500 Elo23¢
At least 1550 Elo4¢
At least 1600 Elo2¢
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Timeline

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24 hours a day, except Thursday 3AM-5AM ET
Contract resolves
Determines the outcome of the contract
Payout
Usually within 1 hour of event resolution

About

How high of an Elo score will an AI model achieve before Jan 1, 2026 on the LMSYS leaderboard? Outcome verified from LM Arena Leaderboard (Remove Style Controls). When checking the source for this market, check the 'Remove Style Control' toggle. Get $1 for every contract you own if your prediction is correct. Or close your position before the event resolves. Additional fees apply. Read the full contract terms and conditions

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