Will a Chinese AI model reach #1 this year?

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Will a Chinese LLM be ranked as the top-ranked AI model before Jan 1, 2026? The model must be top-ranked, alone, on the Rank (UB) metric (unless multiple Chinese models are #1) to resolve the market to Yes. Outcome verified from LM Arena Leaderboard (Remove Style Controls). When checking the source for this market, check the 'Remove Style Control' toggle. Get $1 for every contract you own if your prediction is correct. Or close your position before the event resolves. Additional fees apply. Read the full contract terms and conditions

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