Prediction markets

Will the US say that aliens exist this year?

Before 20262%
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Before 2026 - 2¢

How many launches will SpaceX have this year?

Above 16099%
Above 1802%
Above 2002%
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>160 - 99¢>180 - 2¢>200 - 2¢

How many launches will SpaceX have in December

Above 699%
Above 1097%
Above 896%
View event details
>6 - 99¢>10 - 97¢>8 - 96¢

Will the U.S. confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

Before 202718%
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Before 2027 - 18¢

Will Rocket Lab's Neutron rocket reach orbit this year?

Before 20262%
View event details
Before 2026 - 2¢

How many launches will SpaceX have in 2026

Above 16097%
Above 17086%
Above 18071%
View event details
>160 - 97¢>170 - 86¢>180 - 71¢
Jan 1
2.03M2,025,896
Will the US say that aliens exist this year?
Before 2026
2%
Jan 1
58k58,051
How many launches will SpaceX have this year?
Above 160
99%
+ 2 contracts
Jan 1
32k32,564
How many launches will SpaceX have in December
Above 6
99%
+ 6 contracts
Jan 1
22k22,791
Will the U.S. confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Before 2027
18%
Jan 1
19k19,508
Will Rocket Lab's Neutron rocket reach orbit this year?
Before 2026
2%
Jan 1
4k4,262
How many launches will SpaceX have in 2026
Above 160
97%
+ 7 contracts
Feb 1
1k1,543
How many launches will SpaceX have in Jan 2026
Above 15
45%
+ 6 contracts
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