Prediction markets
Number of rate cuts in 2026
Exactly 0 cuts93.9%
Exactly 1 cut2.4%
Exactly 2 cuts1.0%
Fed rate decision in October 2026
Fed maintains rate92%
Hike 25bps8%
Cut 25bps2%
How high will US gas prices get in 2026
Above $4.6060%
Above $4.8036%
Above $5.0024%
Recession this year?
Recession In 20264%
Fed rate decision in December 2026
Hike 25bps74%
Fed maintains rate24%
Hike >25bps6%
CPI in October
Greater than -0.1%98%
Greater than 0.0%98%
Greater than 0.1%90%
Jan 1
6.58M6,583,090
Number of rate cuts in 2026
Exactly 0 cuts
94%+ 20 contracts
Oct 28
2.73M2,728,336
Fed rate decision in October 2026
Fed maintains rate
92%+ 4 contracts
Dec 31
933k933,998
How high will US gas prices get in 2026
Above $4.60
60%+ 12 contracts
Jan 31
932k932,956
Recession this year?
Recession In 2026
4%Dec 9
645k645,838
Fed rate decision in December 2026
Hike 25bps
74%+ 4 contracts
Nov 10
448k448,718
CPI in October
Greater than -0.1%
98%+ 11 contracts
Oct 26
370k370,160
US gas prices this week
Above 4.1000
99%+ 20 contracts
Jan 31
366k366,481
Recession in ć
¤2027
Recession In 2027
21%Feb 28
286k286,510
US real GDP growth in 2026
2.1% to 2.5%
50%+ 13 contracts
Dec 10
262k262,360
Inflation in November 2026 (CPI YoY)
Above 3.3%
99%+ 20 contracts
Oct 28
206k206,356
Bank of Canada decision in Oct 2026
Hike 25bps
80%+ 4 contracts
Jan 13
172k172,151
Inflation in December 2026 (CPI YoY)
Above 3.0%
96%+ 20 contracts
Mar 1
169k169,332
More tech layoffs in 20ā26 than in 2025
More tech layoffs In 2026
95%Jul 28
118k118,121
Fed rate decision in July 2027
Fed maintains rate
78%+ 4 contracts
Nov 6
116k116,123
Unemployment in October
Above 3.7%
99%+ 13 contracts
Nov 6
114k114,450
Jobs numbers in Oct 2026
Above -25,000
94%+ 12 contracts
Oct 24
105k105,062
Wisconsin gas prices tomorrow
Above $4.2950
99%+ 46 contracts
Dec 31
94k94,276
How low will gas prices in Texas get this year
Below $1.80
3%+ 5 contracts
Oct 24
91k91,368
US gas prices tomorrow
Above $4.2550
99%+ 16 contracts
Dec 8
86k86,550
Fed funds rate after Dec 2027 meeting
Above 0.00%
99%+ 24 contracts
Jan 1
85k85,590
Next Fed rate hike
Before 2029
98%+ 4 contracts
Jan 27
73k73,745
Fed rate decision in January 2027
Fed maintains rate
65%+ 4 contracts
Oct 24
71k71,563
Illinois gas prices tomorrow
Above $4.7700
99%+ 36 contracts
Dec 31
107k107,008
How high will gas prices in California get this year
Above $6.60
36%+ 27 contracts
Oct 24
69k69,218
Ohio gas prices tomorrow
Above $4.3350
99%+ 26 contracts
Mar 17
64k64,365
Fed rate decision in March 2027
Hike 25bps
59%+ 4 contracts
Jan 13
44k44,123
CPI in December
Greater than -0.1%
92%+ 10 contracts
Oct 24
42k42,062
Indiana gas prices tomorrow
Above $3.9400
99%+ 16 contracts
Oct 24
40k40,400
North Dakota gas prices tomorrow
Above $4.0850
99%+ 16 contracts
Oct 24
39k39,890
Mississippi gas prices tomorrow
Above $3.8200
99%+ 16 contracts
Oct 29
38k38,254
European Central Bank rate decision in October
Maintain current rate
98%+ 4 contracts
Oct 24
37k37,831
Colorado gas prices tomorrow
Above $4.2400
99%+ 36 contracts
Dec 31
42k42,986
How low will US gas prices get in 2026
Below $3.40
13%+ 9 contracts
Feb 28
34k34,365
US real GDP growth in 2035
2.1% to 2.5%
15%+ 13 contracts
Nov 3
34k34,087
Reserve Bank of Australia rate decision in November
Hike 1-25bps
63%+ 4 contracts
Dec 31
42k42,640
How high will gas prices in New York get this year
Above $4.80
50%+ 19 contracts
Dec 31
154k154,021
How high will gas prices in Texas get this year
Above $4.20
33%+ 20 contracts
Jun 9
32k32,966
Fed funds rate after Jun 2027 meeting
Above 0.50%
99%+ 24 contracts
Oct 24
30k30,341
Maryland gas prices tomorrow
Above $4.0000
11%+ 16 contracts
Dec 10
29k29,955
CPI in November
Greater than -0.1%
88%+ 6 contracts
Oct 24
29k29,241
Delaware gas prices tomorrow
Above $3.8900
99%+ 26 contracts
Oct 24
28k28,617
Vermont gas prices tomorrow
Above $4.3250
99%+ 16 contracts
Oct 24
28k28,177
West Virginia gas prices tomorrow
Above $4.1850
99%+ 16 contracts
Jan 1
36k36,674
How high will the price of fertilizer get this year
Above $1100
11%+ 14 contracts
Jun 9
28k28,021
Fed rate decision in June 2027
Fed maintains rate
62%+ 4 contracts
Oct 24
27k27,465
Montana gas prices tomorrow
Above $4.3900
99%+ 16 contracts
Oct 27
24k24,404
Fed funds rate after Oct 2027 meeting
Above 0.25%
99%+ 24 contracts
Oct 24
24k24,220
Arizona gas prices tomorrow
Above $4.5000
99%+ 16 contracts
Feb 28
21k21,663
US real GDP growth in 2033
1.6% to 2.0%
23%+ 13 contracts
Oct 24
21k21,636
Missouri gas prices tomorrow
Above $3.9150
99%+ 16 contracts
Oct 24
20k20,878
South Carolina gas prices tomorrow
Above $3.7950
96%+ 16 contracts
Oct 24
20k20,777
New York gas prices tomorrow
Above $4.3700
99%+ 16 contracts
Dec 31
21k21,368
How low will gas prices in California get this year
Below $3.80
7%+ 4 contracts
Jan 1
20k20,139
Highest natural gas spot price inā 2026
$4.51 or above
39%+ 6 contracts
Oct 24
19k19,622
Florida gas prices tomorrow
Above $4.0850
99%+ 16 contracts
Oct 24
19k19,057
Connecticut gas prices tomorrow
Above $4.2750
99%+ 16 contracts
Oct 24
17k17,876
Washington gas prices tomorrow
Above $5.2950
99%+ 16 contracts
Feb 28
17k17,840
US real GDP growth in 2034
0.0% or Below
16%+ 13 contracts
Oct 24
17k17,658
Georgia gas prices tomorrow
Above $3.6450
99%+ 16 contracts
Oct 24
17k17,326
California gas prices tomorrow
Above $6.0200
98%+ 16 contracts
Oct 24
16k16,939
Tennessee gas prices tomorrow
Above $3.8050
99%+ 16 contracts
Oct 24
16k16,860
New Jersey gas prices tomorrow
Above $4.1600
99%+ 16 contracts
Feb 28
16k16,494
US real GDP growth in 2027
2.1% to 2.5%
14%+ 13 contracts
Oct 24
15k15,903
Massachusetts gas prices tomorrow
Above $4.1950
99%+ 16 contracts
Oct 24
15k15,374
New Mexico gas prices tomorrow
Above $4.2300
99%+ 16 contracts
Oct 24
15k15,108
Alabama gas prices tomorrow
Above $3.8050
99%+ 16 contracts
Dec 31
14k14,235
US real GDP growth in 2036
1.6% to 2.0%
31%+ 13 contracts
Oct 24
13k13,725
Texas gas prices tomorrow
Above $3.7100
99%+ 16 contracts
Oct 29
13k13,354
30-year mortgage rate this week
Above 7.22%
77%+ 19 contracts
Dec 31
12k12,850
How low will gas prices in Florida get this year
Below $2.50
9%+ 4 contracts
Oct 24
12k12,748
Virginia gas prices tomorrow
Above $4.0500
99%+ 16 contracts
Dec 4
12k12,516
Unemployment in November
Above 3.8%
98%+ 13 contracts
Dec 31
91k91,072
How high will gas prices in Florida get this year
Above $4.70
38%+ 16 contracts
Oct 24
11k11,751
Utah gas prices tomorrow
Above $4.6650
99%+ 16 contracts
Feb 28
11k11,689
US real GDP growth in 2028
2.1% to 2.5%
13%+ 13 contracts
Jan 1
17k17,606
U.S. oil production per day in 2026
At least 14.00M bpd
82%+ 6 contracts
Dec 17
11k11,159
Bank of England rate decision in December
Maintain current rate
53%+ 4 contracts
Oct 24
10k10,753
Louisiana gas prices tomorrow
Above $3.7800
99%+ 16 contracts
Sep 15
10k10,629
Fed funds rate after Sep 2027 meeting
Above 0.00%
99%+ 24 contracts
Oct 24
10k10,223
New Hampshire gas prices tomorrow
Above $4.1850
99%+ 16 contracts
Oct 24
9k9,895
Arkansas gas prices tomorrow
Above $3.8300
99%+ 16 contracts
Oct 24
9k9,165
Pennsylvania gas prices tomorrow
Above $4.4350
99%+ 16 contracts
Oct 24
9k9,113
Rhode Island gas prices tomorrow
Above $4.1250
99%+ 16 contracts
Oct 24
9k9,020
Maine gas prices tomorrow
Above $4.2700
99%+ 16 contracts
Feb 29
9k9,014
US real GDP growth in 2031
1.6% to 2.0%
12%+ 13 contracts
Oct 24
8k8,830
Idaho gas prices tomorrow
Above $4.6800
99%+ 16 contracts
Mar 31
8k8,432
US solar capacity installed inā 2026
At least 40 GWdc
97%+ 4 contracts
Feb 28
8k8,416
US real GDP growth in 2032
2.1% to 2.5%
10%+ 13 contracts
Oct 24
8k8,076
Nebraska gas prices tomorrow
Above $4.3050
94%+ 16 contracts
Oct 24
7k7,985
Minnesota gas prices tomorrow
Above $4.1750
99%+ 16 contracts
Feb 28
7k7,700
US real GDP growth in 2029
2.1% to 2.5%
16%+ 13 contracts
Dec 31
7k7,135
How low will gas prices in New York get this year
Below $2.90
6%+ 4 contracts
Feb 28
5k5,706
US real GDP growth in 2030
2.6% to 3.0%
14%+ 13 contracts
Jan 1
6k6,382
Number of US oil rigs at end of 2026
At least 380
99%+ 11 contracts
Nov 5
5k5,029
Bank of England rate decision in November
Hike 1-25bps
97%+ 4 contracts
Oct 27
4k4,887
US new home sales for September
Above 600,000
96%+ 7 contracts
Oct 24
4k4,629
Iowa gas prices tomorrow
Above $4.1400
99%+ 16 contracts
Jan 1
15k15,010
Lowest natural gas spot price inā 2026
$1.99 or below
54%+ 6 contracts
Jan 28
3k3,736
US GDP growth in Q4 2026
Above 0.0%
94%+ 8 contracts
Oct 24
3k3,445
Wyoming gas prices tomorrow
Above $4.3950
99%+ 16 contracts
Dec 17
3k3,185
European Central Bank rate decision in December
Hike 1-25bps
79%+ 4 contracts
Oct 29
2k2,943
2026 October 29 Unemployment Claims
Above 185000
86%+ 11 contracts
Apr 29
2k2,825
US GDP growth in Q1 2027
Above 0.0%
95%+ 8 contracts
Oct 24
2k2,628
Alaska gas prices tomorrow
Above $4.8300
99%+ 16 contracts
Oct 24
2k2,429
South Dakota gas prices tomorrow
Above $4.1950
99%+ 16 contracts
Nov 12
2k2,392
US existing home sales for October
Above 3.60M
98%+ 7 contracts
Oct 24
1k1,837
Nevada gas prices tomorrow
Above $5.2900
92%+ 16 contracts
Jul 29
1k1,389
US GDP growth in Q2 2027
Above 0.0%
93%+ 8 contracts
Oct 24
1k1,242
Hawaii gas prices tomorrow
Above $5.6400
90%+ 16 contracts
Oct 29
816816
2026 September Core PCE Index
Above 0.2%
95%+ 4 contracts
Jan 26
211211
Fed funds rate after Jan 2028 meeting
Above 0.00%
99%+ 24 contracts
Nov 5
4040
Bank of Mexico Decision November 5 2026
No change
64%+ 4 contracts
Jul 28
1919
Fed funds rate after Jul 2027 meeting
Above 0.00%
99%+ 24 contracts
Nov 30
Singapore Overnight Rate Average November 30 2026
1.2
--%+ 4 contracts
Oct 28
Number of Dissenting FOMC Members October 28 2026
0 dissents
0%+ 4 contracts
Oct 30
Singapore Overnight Rate Average October 30 2026
0.6
0%+ 4 contracts
Dec 9
Number of Dissenting FOMC Members December 9 2026
0 dissents
0%+ 4 contracts
Nov 26
Bank of Korea Decision November 26 2026
Raise 25bps
0%+ 4 contracts
Dec 23
Bank of Korea Decision December 23 2026
Lower 25bps
--%+ 4 contracts
Dec 17
Bank of Mexico Decision December 17 2026
Lower 25bps
--%+ 4 contracts
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