Prediction markets
Number of rate cuts in 2026
Exactly 0 cuts97.9%
Exactly 1 cut1.4%
Exactly 10 cuts0.5%
Fed rate decision in December 2026
Hike 25bps87%
Hike >25bps12%
Fed maintains rate5%
How high will US gas prices get in 2026
Above $4.6010%
Above $4.8010%
Above $5.0010%
Recession this year?
Recession In 20263%
Inflation in November 2026 (CPI YoY)
Above 3.0%99%
Above 3.1%99%
Above 3.2%98%
Recession in ㅤ2027
Recession In 202723%
Jan 1
6.64M6,642,061
Number of rate cuts in 2026
Exactly 0 cuts
98%+ 20 contracts
Dec 9
1.70M1,702,730
Fed rate decision in December 2026
Hike 25bps
87%+ 4 contracts
Dec 31
959k959,274
How high will US gas prices get in 2026
Above $4.60
10%+ 12 contracts
Jan 31
877k877,739
Recession this year?
Recession In 2026
3%Dec 10
486k486,210
Inflation in November 2026 (CPI YoY)
Above 3.0%
99%+ 20 contracts
Jan 31
429k429,288
Recession in ㅤ2027
Recession In 2027
23%Nov 16
372k372,727
US gas prices this week
Above 3.7000
99%+ 28 contracts
Feb 28
306k306,963
US real GDP growth in 2026
2.1% to 2.5%
80%+ 13 contracts
Jan 13
204k204,635
Inflation in December 2026 (CPI YoY)
Above 3.1%
97%+ 20 contracts
Nov 13
176k176,015
US gas prices tomorrow
Above $3.8500
99%+ 20 contracts
Dec 10
159k159,047
CPI in November
Greater than -0.3%
99%+ 8 contracts
Jan 1
158k158,787
Next Fed rate hike
Before July 2028
99%+ 4 contracts
Jan 27
141k141,592
Fed rate decision in January 2027
Hike 25bps
62%+ 4 contracts
Jul 28
136k136,337
Fed rate decision in July 2027
Fed maintains rate
89%+ 4 contracts
Mar 17
99k99,332
Fed rate decision in March 2027
Hike 25bps
60%+ 4 contracts
Dec 31
95k95,515
How low will gas prices in Texas get this year
Below $1.80
3%+ 5 contracts
Dec 8
87k87,291
Fed funds rate after Dec 2027 meeting
Above 0.00%
99%+ 24 contracts
Jan 13
73k73,524
CPI in December
Greater than -0.1%
86%+ 10 contracts
Dec 31
108k108,462
How high will gas prices in California get this year
Above $6.60
10%+ 27 contracts
Dec 9
69k69,063
Bank of Canada decision in Dec 2026
Maintains rate
52%+ 4 contracts
Jun 9
61k61,828
Fed rate decision in June 2027
Fed maintains rate
69%+ 4 contracts
Dec 31
48k48,895
How low will US gas prices get in 2026
Below $3.60
70%+ 9 contracts
Feb 28
34k34,374
US real GDP growth in 2035
2.1% to 2.5%
15%+ 13 contracts
Dec 4
34k34,023
Unemployment in November
Above 3.7%
99%+ 13 contracts
Dec 31
41k41,990
How high will gas prices in New York get this year
Above $5.00
13%+ 19 contracts
Dec 31
154k154,112
How high will gas prices in Texas get this year
Above $4.80
5%+ 20 contracts
Jun 9
32k32,481
Fed funds rate after Jun 2027 meeting
Above 0.50%
99%+ 24 contracts
Jan 1
35k35,757
How high will the price of fertilizer get this year
Above $1100
17%+ 14 contracts
Dec 17
26k26,446
Bank of England rate decision in December
Hike 1-25bps
71%+ 4 contracts
Oct 27
24k24,437
Fed funds rate after Oct 2027 meeting
Above 0.25%
99%+ 24 contracts
Feb 28
21k21,604
US real GDP growth in 2033
1.6% to 2.0%
16%+ 13 contracts
Jan 1
20k20,727
Highest natural gas spot price in 2026
$4.51 or above
40%+ 6 contracts
Dec 31
21k21,497
How low will gas prices in California get this year
Below $4.00
5%+ 4 contracts
Feb 28
17k17,852
US real GDP growth in 2034
0.0% or Below
16%+ 13 contracts
Feb 28
16k16,611
US real GDP growth in 2027
2.1% to 2.5%
17%+ 13 contracts
Dec 31
14k14,683
US real GDP growth in 2036
1.6% to 2.0%
18%+ 13 contracts
Dec 31
13k13,597
How low will gas prices in Florida get this year
Below $2.60
3%+ 4 contracts
Dec 31
91k91,298
How high will gas prices in Florida get this year
Above $4.70
13%+ 16 contracts
Feb 28
11k11,689
US real GDP growth in 2028
2.1% to 2.5%
13%+ 13 contracts
Jan 1
17k17,651
U.S. oil production per day in 2026
At least 14.00M bpd
84%+ 6 contracts
Sep 15
10k10,767
Fed funds rate after Sep 2027 meeting
Above 0.00%
99%+ 24 contracts
Mar 31
9k9,201
US solar capacity installed in 2026
At least 35 GWdc
97%+ 4 contracts
Feb 29
9k9,020
US real GDP growth in 2031
1.6% to 2.0%
12%+ 13 contracts
Feb 28
8k8,420
US real GDP growth in 2032
2.1% to 2.5%
10%+ 13 contracts
Nov 13
8k8,394
Tennessee gas prices tomorrow
Above $3.4800
99%+ 16 contracts
Feb 28
7k7,702
US real GDP growth in 2029
2.1% to 2.5%
16%+ 13 contracts
Feb 28
7k7,372
US real GDP growth in 2030
2.1% to 2.5%
16%+ 13 contracts
Jan 28
7k7,299
US GDP growth in Q4 2026
Above 0.0%
94%+ 8 contracts
Dec 31
7k7,119
How low will gas prices in New York get this year
Below $2.90
6%+ 4 contracts
Nov 13
6k6,042
Wisconsin gas prices tomorrow
Above $3.6900
99%+ 26 contracts
Nov 13
5k5,772
South Carolina gas prices tomorrow
Above $3.4150
98%+ 16 contracts
Nov 25
5k5,599
US new home · Sales in October
Above 600,000
92%+ 7 contracts
Jan 1
7k7,230
Number of US oil rigs at end of 2026
At least 380
99%+ 15 contracts
Nov 13
5k5,497
Nebraska gas prices tomorrow
Above $3.8350
4%+ 16 contracts
Dec 4
5k5,385
Jobs numbers in Nov 2026
Above -25,000
95%+ 12 contracts
Nov 13
5k5,060
Georgia gas prices tomorrow
Above $3.3650
99%+ 16 contracts
Nov 13
4k4,810
Utah gas prices tomorrow
Above $4.1350
99%+ 26 contracts
Nov 13
4k4,642
New Mexico gas prices tomorrow
Above $3.6550
99%+ 26 contracts
Nov 13
4k4,598
Texas gas prices tomorrow
Above $3.3500
99%+ 16 contracts
Nov 13
4k4,544
South Dakota gas prices tomorrow
Above $3.7450
99%+ 26 contracts
Dec 17
3k3,951
European Central Bank rate decision in December
Hike 1-25bps
93%+ 4 contracts
Jan 1
15k15,017
Lowest natural gas spot price in 2026
$2.39 or below
34%+ 6 contracts
Nov 13
3k3,562
Delaware gas prices tomorrow
Above $3.7550
99%+ 16 contracts
Nov 13
3k3,399
Iowa gas prices tomorrow
Above $3.7100
97%+ 16 contracts
Nov 13
3k3,281
Virginia gas prices tomorrow
Above $3.7500
99%+ 16 contracts
Nov 13
3k3,058
West Virginia gas prices tomorrow
Above $3.9300
99%+ 16 contracts
Nov 13
3k3,035
Washington gas prices tomorrow
Above $4.8150
99%+ 26 contracts
Nov 13
2k2,993
Minnesota gas prices tomorrow
Above $3.7550
99%+ 16 contracts
Nov 13
2k2,932
Rhode Island gas prices tomorrow
Above $3.8800
99%+ 16 contracts
Apr 29
2k2,845
US GDP growth in Q1 2027
Above 0.0%
95%+ 8 contracts
Nov 13
2k2,765
Arkansas gas prices tomorrow
Above $3.5150
99%+ 16 contracts
Nov 13
2k2,259
New Hampshire gas prices tomorrow
Above $3.9800
99%+ 16 contracts
Nov 13
2k2,178
Wyoming gas prices tomorrow
Above $3.9950
95%+ 16 contracts
Nov 13
2k2,115
Massachusetts gas prices tomorrow
Above $3.9850
99%+ 16 contracts
Nov 13
2k2,104
New York gas prices tomorrow
Above $4.1500
99%+ 16 contracts
Nov 13
2k2,017
Louisiana gas prices tomorrow
Above $3.4600
98%+ 16 contracts
Nov 13
1k1,837
Idaho gas prices tomorrow
Above $4.0950
99%+ 26 contracts
Nov 13
1k1,770
Maine gas prices tomorrow
Above $4.0500
99%+ 16 contracts
Nov 13
1k1,745
Vermont gas prices tomorrow
Above $4.1600
99%+ 16 contracts
Nov 13
1k1,597
Nevada gas prices tomorrow
Above $4.9300
99%+ 16 contracts
Nov 13
1k1,546
Alabama gas prices tomorrow
Above $3.5050
99%+ 16 contracts
Jul 29
1k1,482
US GDP growth in Q2 2027
Above 0.0%
93%+ 8 contracts
Nov 13
1k1,253
Maryland gas prices tomorrow
Above $3.7950
99%+ 16 contracts
Nov 13
1k1,241
Hawaii gas prices tomorrow
Above $5.5950
99%+ 16 contracts
Nov 13
1k1,087
Connecticut gas prices tomorrow
Above $4.0350
99%+ 16 contracts
Nov 13
1k1,003
Mississippi gas prices tomorrow
Above $3.5650
99%+ 16 contracts
Nov 19
784784
30-year mortgage rate this week
Above 7.04%
99%+ 19 contracts
Nov 13
709709
Arizona gas prices tomorrow
Above $4.1150
2%+ 16 contracts
Nov 13
555555
North Dakota gas prices tomorrow
Above $3.7400
99%+ 16 contracts
Nov 13
457457
Missouri gas prices tomorrow
Above $3.5700
99%+ 16 contracts
Nov 25
278278
2026 October Core PCE Index
Above 0.2%
48%+ 6 contracts
Jan 26
211211
Fed funds rate after Jan 2028 meeting
Above 0.00%
99%+ 24 contracts
Nov 13
159159
Alaska gas prices tomorrow
Above $4.4700
99%+ 16 contracts
Nov 13
7474
Indiana gas prices tomorrow
Above $3.3850
99%+ 26 contracts
Jul 28
6262
Fed funds rate after Jul 2027 meeting
Above 0.00%
99%+ 24 contracts
Nov 26
1010
Bank of Korea Decision November 26 2026
Raise 25bps
94%+ 4 contracts
Nov 13
33
Pennsylvania gas prices tomorrow
Above $4.2550
99%+ 16 contracts
Nov 19
2026 November 19 Unemployment Claims
Above 165000
0%+ 10 contracts
Jan 27
Number of Dissenting FOMC Members January 27 2027
0 dissents
--%+ 4 contracts
Dec 23
Bank of Korea Decision December 23 2026
Lower 25bps
0%+ 4 contracts
Nov 13
Montana gas prices tomorrow
Above $3.8250
0%+ 16 contracts
Feb 9
Bank of Mexico Decision February 9 2027
Lower 25bps
0%+ 4 contracts
Dec 9
Number of Dissenting FOMC Members December 9 2026
0 dissents
0%+ 4 contracts
Dec 17
Bank of Mexico Decision December 17 2026
Lower 25bps
0%+ 4 contracts
Dec 9
US existing home sales for November
Above 3.40M
0%+ 7 contracts
Nov 30
Singapore Overnight Rate Average November 30 2026
1.2
--%+ 4 contracts
Nov 13
Colorado gas prices tomorrow
Above $3.6950
0%+ 16 contracts
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