Prediction markets / Economics / The Fed

Number of rate cuts in 2026

Exactly 0 cuts63.6¢
Exactly 1 cut18.5¢
Exactly 2 cuts10.8¢
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Timeline

Trading hours
24 hours a day, except Thursday 3AM-5AM ET
Event day
December 31, 2026
Contract resolves
Determines the outcome of the contract
Payout
Usually within 1 hour of event resolution

About

How many times will the Fed cut rates in 2026? To be clear, 25bp of cuts is equal to one cut (so 25bp cut is 1, 50bp cut is 2, 75bp cut is 3, and so on). Get $1 for every contract you own if your prediction is correct. Or close your position before the event resolves. Additional fees apply. Read the full contract terms and conditions

Trading prohibitions

  • Persons who are employed by any of the Source Agencies are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
  • Persons who hold any material, non-public information on the Underlying are not permitted to trade on the Contract.

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