Prediction markets / Economics

US GDP growth in Q4 2025

>2.5%73¢
>3.0%39¢
>3.5%19¢
1D
1W
MAX

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Timeline

Event day
February 20, 2026
Contract resolves
Determines the outcome of the contract
Payout
Usually within 1 hour of event resolution

About

Predict the real GDP growth rate for the fourth quarter of 2025 (Q4 2025), reported by the U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA). If it's above the threshold you select, the outcome resolves to Yes. If not, it resolves to No. Additional fees apply. Read the full contract terms and conditions

Trading prohibitions

  • Persons who are employed by any of the Source Agencies are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
  • Persons who hold any material, non-public information on the Underlying are not permitted to trade on the Contract.

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Event contracts are offered by Robinhood Derivatives, LLC through either KalshiEX LLC, ForecastEX, LLC, Rothera Exchange and Clearing LLC, or North American Derivatives Exchange, Inc.