Prediction markets / Economics

What will the European Central Bank do at the February ECB meeting

Maintain current rate99¢
Cut 1-25 basis points2¢
Cut more than 25bp1¢
1D
1W
MAX

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Timeline

Trading hours
24 hours a day, except Thursday 3AM-5AM ET
Contract resolves
Determines the outcome of the contract
Event day
February 5, 2026
Payout
Usually within 1 hour of event resolution

About

What action will the European Central Bank take at the February ECB meeting? The market resolves based on the official policy rate decision announced by the central bank. For central banks with multiple policy rates, only changes to the primary policy rate count. If the meeting is cancelled or delayed past the expiration date, markets for "No change" resolve to Yes and all others resolve to No. Emergency rate changes between scheduled meetings do not affect resolution of contracts tied to scheduled meetings. The specific basis point ranges are inclusive (e.g., "25-50bp" includes both 25bp and 50bp changes). Get $1 for every contract you own if your prediction is correct. Or close your position before the event resolves. Additional fees apply. Read the full contract terms and conditions

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