Prediction markets
Inflation in September 2026 (CPI YoY)
Above 3.0%99%
Above 3.1%99%
Above 3.2%98%
US real GDP growth in 2026
2.1% to 2.5%41.0%
1.6% to 2.0%32.0%
2.6% to 3.0%16.2%
CPI in September
Greater than -0.1%99%
Greater than -0.2%99%
Greater than -0.3%99%
Inflation in November 2026 (CPI YoY)
Above 3.1%98%
Above 3.0%97%
Above 3.2%97%
More tech layoffs in 20ā26 than in 2025
More tech layoffs In 202695.0%
Inflation in December 2026 (CPI YoY)
Above 3.0%97%
Above 3.1%97%
Above 3.2%97%
Oct 14
469k469,253
Inflation in September 2026 (CPI YoY)
Above 3.0%
99%+ 20 contracts
Feb 28
267k267,444
US real GDP growth in 2026
2.1% to 2.5%
41%+ 13 contracts
Oct 14
249k249,732
CPI in September
Greater than -0.1%
99%+ 13 contracts
Dec 10
225k225,423
Inflation in November 2026 (CPI YoY)
Above 3.1%
98%+ 20 contracts
Mar 1
168k168,961
More tech layoffs in 20ā26 than in 2025
More tech layoffs In 2026
95%Jan 13
158k158,256
Inflation in December 2026 (CPI YoY)
Above 3.0%
97%+ 20 contracts
Nov 10
42k42,090
CPI in October
Greater than -0.1%
95%+ 11 contracts
Feb 28
34k34,414
US real GDP growth in 2035
0.0% or Below
14%+ 13 contracts
Nov 6
33k33,304
Unemployment in October
Above 3.7%
99%+ 13 contracts
Jan 13
24k24,236
CPI in December
Greater than -0.1%
98%+ 10 contracts
Feb 28
21k21,732
US real GDP growth in 2033
1.1% to 1.5%
49%+ 13 contracts
Feb 28
17k17,991
US real GDP growth in 2034
0.0% or Below
16%+ 13 contracts
Nov 6
17k17,836
Jobs numbers in Oct 2026
Above -25,000
90%+ 12 contracts
Feb 28
16k16,511
US real GDP growth in 2027
2.1% to 2.5%
14%+ 13 contracts
Dec 10
14k14,958
CPI in November
Greater than -0.1%
83%+ 6 contracts
Dec 31
13k13,783
US real GDP growth in 2036
1.6% to 2.0%
17%+ 13 contracts
Feb 28
11k11,689
US real GDP growth in 2028
2.1% to 2.5%
13%+ 13 contracts
Feb 29
9k9,014
US real GDP growth in 2031
1.6% to 2.0%
12%+ 13 contracts
Dec 4
8k8,227
Unemployment in November
Above 3.7%
95%+ 13 contracts
Feb 28
7k7,966
US real GDP growth in 2032
2.1% to 2.5%
10%+ 13 contracts
Feb 28
7k7,700
US real GDP growth in 2029
2.1% to 2.5%
16%+ 13 contracts
Feb 28
5k5,519
US real GDP growth in 2030
2.6% to 3.0%
14%+ 13 contracts
Oct 27
3k3,879
US new home sales for September
Above 600,000
97%+ 7 contracts
Jan 28
3k3,539
US GDP growth in Q4 2026
Above 0.0%
94%+ 8 contracts
Apr 29
2k2,791
US GDP growth in Q1 2027
Above 0.0%
95%+ 8 contracts
Oct 13
2k2,201
US existing home sales for September
Above 3.60M
99%+ 7 contracts
Jul 29
1k1,311
US GDP growth in Q2 2027
Above 0.0%
93%+ 8 contracts
Oct 8
2026 October 8 Unemployment Claims
Above 175000
0%+ 9 contracts
Oct 29
2026 September Core PCE Index
Above 0.0%
0%+ 4 contracts
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