Prediction markets

Will a NYSE marketwide circuitbreaker happen this year?

Before 20263%
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Before 2026 - 3¢

Who will be the top three wealthiest people in the world?

Elon Musk99%
Jeff Bezos64%
Larry Ellison35%
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Elon Musk - 99¢Jeff Bezos - 64¢Larry Ellison - 35¢

Treasury 10-year yield on Dec 31, 2025?

4.11% to 4.13%14%
4.14% to 4.16%13%
4.08% to 4.1%10%
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4.11% to 4.13% - 14¢4.14% to 4.16% - 13¢4.08% to 4.1% - 10¢

How much revenue will tariffs bring in this year?

At least $200 billion97%
At least $150 billion91%
At least $300 billion6%
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>=$200 billion - 97¢>=$150 billion - 91¢>=$300 billion - 6¢

Will wages be above inflation this year?

Above 0%94%
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>0% - 94¢
Jan 1
207k207,598
Will a NYSE marketwide circuitbreaker happen this year?
Before 2026
3%
Dec 31
152k152,297
Who will be the top three wealthiest people in the world?
Elon Musk
99%
+ 5 contracts
Dec 31
91k91,600
Treasury 10-year yield on Dec 31, 2025?
4.11% to 4.13%
14%
+ 14 contracts
Jan 1
74k74,079
How much revenue will tariffs bring in this year?
At least $200 billion
97%
+ 3 contracts
Jan 31
18k18,913
Will wages be above inflation this year?
Above 0%
94%
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