Prediction markets
Texas Republican Senate nominee
Ken Paxton61%
John Cornyn38%
2026 Texas Senate matchup
Talarico vs. Paxton62%
Talarico vs. Cornyn40%
Texas Republican Senate Runoff: Margin of Victory
Ken Paxton, 0-5%35%
John Cornyn, 0-5%24%
Ken Paxton, 5-10%21%
TX-33 Democratic nominee
Julie Johnson21%
Colin Allred83%
Texas Republican Attorney General nominee
Mayes Middleton69%
Chip Roy33%
TX-18 Democratic nominee
Christian Menefee90.1%
Al Green11%
May 26
3.36M3,360,819
Texas Republican Senate nominee
Ken Paxton
61%+ 4 contracts
May 26
1.29M1,285,432
2026 Texas Senate matchup
Talarico vs. Paxton
62%+ 5 contracts
May 26
150k150,605
Texas Republican Senate Runoff: Margin of Victory
Ken Paxton, 0-5%
35%+ 9 contracts
May 26
98k98,372
TX-33 Democratic nominee
Colin Allred
83%+ 2 contracts
May 26
85k85,531
Texas Republican Attorney General nominee
Mayes Middleton
69%+ 1 contracts
May 26
40k40,001
TX-18 Democratic nominee
Christian Menefee
90%+ 3 contracts
May 26
9k9,512
Texas Democratic Attorney General nominee
Nathan Johnson
92%+ 1 contracts
May 26
15k15,253
TX-32 Republican nominee
Jace Yarbrough
93%+ 8 contracts
May 26
18k18,737
TX-35 Republican nominee
Carlos De La Cruz
84%+ 10 contracts
May 26
21k21,819
TX-38 Republican nominee
Jon Bonck
92%+ 9 contracts
May 26
8k8,901
TX-19 Republican nominee
Tom Sell
98%+ 6 contracts
May 26
6k6,023
TX-09 Republican nominee
Alexandra del Moral Mealer
96%+ 8 contracts
May 26
5k5,196
TX-17 Democratic nominee
Casey Shepard
98%+ 2 contracts
May 26
4k4,643
TX-24 Democratic nominee
Kevin Burge
92%+ 2 contracts
May 26
5k5,347
TX-07 Republican nominee
Alexander Hale
97%+ 3 contracts
May 26
2k2,821
TX-35 Democratic nominee
Johnny Garcia
90%+ 3 contracts
May 26
10k10,332
TX-16 Republican nominee
Adam Bauman
95%+ 6 contracts
May 26
4k4,742
TX-01 Democratic nominee
Yolanda Prince
92%+ 3 contracts
May 26
3k3,036
TX-14 Democratic nominee
Richard Davis
86%+ 2 contracts
May 26
2k2,057
TX-05 Democratic nominee
Chelsey Hockett
85%+ 2 contracts
May 26
2k2,248
TX-37 Republican nominee
Lauren Peña
65%+ 2 contracts
May 26
2k2,553
TX-30 Republican nominee
Everett Jackson
91%+ 3 contracts
May 26
5k5,438
TX-33 Republican nominee
Patrick Gillespie
96%+ 4 contracts
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