Prediction markets / Midterms / Presidential

2028 U.S. Presidential election party winner

Republican37¢
Democratic58¢
LIVE
1D
1W
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Timeline

Trading hours
24 hours a day, except Thursday 3AM-5AM ET
Event day
November 7, 2028
Contract resolves
Determines the outcome of the contract
Payout
Usually within 1 hour of event resolution

About

What will be the Party to win the 2028 U.S. Presidential election?Contracts resolve based on which party wins the 2028 U.S. Presidential election as determined by officially reported results. A Party is considered to have won if the Source Agency reports that the candidate associated with the given Party has been elected President of the United States, including through electoral vote counts, recounts, contingent elections, or other legally recognized processes establishing that result. If the winning candidate changes party affiliation between election day and inauguration, the contract resolves based on the party affiliation of the winning candidate as of election day. Resolution occurs once the Source Agency has reported a result; any subsequent revision will not affect settlement once determined. If the Source Agency has not announced a result by the Expiration Date, contracts will remain open until the result is released. In the event a result cannot be determined, the contract will be settled to fair market value as determined by Rothera.Get $1 for every contract you own if your prediction is correct. Or close your position before the event resolves. Additional fees apply. Read the full contract terms and conditions

Trading prohibitions

  • Candidates for federal or statewide public office.
  • Paid and unpaid campaign staffers on political campaigns.
  • Paid employees of Democratic and Republican Party organizations, such as the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee or the Republican National Committee.
  • Paid employees of Political Action Committees (PACs) and “Super PACs”.
  • Paid employees of major polling organizations. The Exchange shall determine which polling organizations constitute “major” and may modify that determination at any time.
  • Existing members of the current presidential administration.
  • Existing members of Congress, including those not running for re-election.
  • Existing paid and unpaid staffers of members of Congress or the current presidential administration.
  • Household members and immediate family members (siblings, children, and parents) of any of the above.
  • Any of the above listed institutions themselves.

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Event contracts are offered by Robinhood Derivatives, LLC through either KalshiEX LLC, ForecastEX, LLC or Rothera Exchange and Clearing LLC.