Clacton by-election margin of victory

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Which states will redistrict before the midterms?

Florida Republican Governor primary: James Fishback vote percent

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Who will advance from Alaska's top-four primary for Governor

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Will Nancy Pelosi resign her office before the midterms?

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Clacton by-election: Count Binface vote percent

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Clacton by-election: 3rd place

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Who will advance from the WA-04 primary

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Clacton by-election: 4th place

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Clacton by-election: 2nd place

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Will Count Binface Party receive at least 30% of the popular vote in the 2026 Clacton by-election?

At least 30%

Will Count Binface Party receive at least 25% of the popular vote in the 2026 Clacton by-election?

At least 25%

Will Count Binface Party receive at least 20% of the popular vote in the 2026 Clacton by-election?

At least 20%

Will Count Binface Party receive at least 15% of the popular vote in the 2026 Clacton by-election?

At least 15%

Will Count Binface Party receive at least 10% of the popular vote in the 2026 Clacton by-election?

At least 10%

Will Count Binface Party receive at least 5% of the popular vote in the 2026 Clacton by-election?

At least 5%

What will be the minimum Vote Percent - Count Binface Party?

Outcome verified by [Tendering District Council](https://www.tendringdc.gov.uk/)

The percentage is calculated as (total votes received by the specified person/party ÷ total valid votes cast) × 100, rounded to the specified decimal places. Resolution is based on certified/official results only, not preliminary results. Write-in votes are included if they appear in certified results. Invalid, spoiled, or rejected ballots are excluded from both numerator and denominator. If multiple rounds of voting occur (e.g., ranked choice voting), the percentage is based on the specified round or the first round if not specified. If the election is cancelled, postponed beyond the market expiration, or no certified results are available by expiration, the market resolves to No. If a recount changes the certified percentage before expiration, the most recent certified percentage is used.

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Will the margin of victory for Reform UK in the 2026 Clacton by-election be above 80%?

Reform UK, ≥80%

Will the margin of victory for Reform UK in the 2026 Clacton by-election be above 75%?

Reform UK, ≥75%

Will the margin of victory for Reform UK in the 2026 Clacton by-election be above 30%?

Reform UK, ≥30%

Will the margin of victory for Reform UK in the 2026 Clacton by-election be above 25%?

Reform UK, ≥25%

Will the margin of victory for Reform UK in the 2026 Clacton by-election be above 20%?

Reform UK, ≥20%

Will the margin of victory for Reform UK in the 2026 Clacton by-election be above 15%?

Reform UK, ≥15%

Will the margin of victory for Reform UK in the 2026 Clacton by-election be above 10%?

Reform UK, ≥10%

Will the margin of victory for Reform UK in the 2026 Clacton by-election be above 5%?

Reform UK, ≥5%

Will the margin of victory for Reform UK in the 2026 Clacton by-election be above 70%?

Reform UK, ≥70%

Will the margin of victory for Reform UK in the 2026 Clacton by-election be above 65%?

Reform UK, ≥65%

Will the margin of victory for Reform UK in the 2026 Clacton by-election be above 60%?

Reform UK, ≥60%

Will the margin of victory for Reform UK in the 2026 Clacton by-election be above 55%?

Reform UK, ≥55%

Will the margin of victory for Reform UK in the 2026 Clacton by-election be above 50%?

Reform UK, ≥50%

Will the margin of victory for Reform UK in the 2026 Clacton by-election be above 45%?

Reform UK, ≥45%

Will the margin of victory for Reform UK in the 2026 Clacton by-election be above 40%?

Reform UK, ≥40%

Will the margin of victory for Reform UK in the 2026 Clacton by-election be above 35%?

Reform UK, ≥35%

What will be the Clacton by-election margin of victory

Outcome verified by [Tendering District Council]{https://www.tendringdc.gov.uk/} 

The margin of victory is the vote share received by Reform UK minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Reform UK if Reform UK wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Reform UK loses. If Reform UK wins, the margin will be positive; if Reform UK loses, the margin will be negative; if Reform UK ties for first place, the margin shall be 0.

Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Reform UK runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying candidate will be summed.

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Will Luke Worley finish 2nd in the 2026 Clacton by-election?

Luke Worley

Will Tony Mack finish 2nd in the 2026 Clacton by-election?

Tony Mack

Will Piers Corbyn finish 2nd in the 2026 Clacton by-election?

Piers Corbyn

Will Conservative Party finish 2nd in the 2026 Clacton by-election?

Conservative Party

Will Climate Party finish 2nd in the 2026 Clacton by-election?

Climate Party

Will British Democratic Party finish 2nd in the 2026 Clacton by-election?

British Democratic Party

Will Count Binface Party finish 2nd in the 2026 Clacton by-election?

Count Binface Party

Will Rejoin EU finish 2nd in the 2026 Clacton by-election?

Rejoin EU

Will Reform UK finish 2nd in the 2026 Clacton by-election?

Reform UK

Will Reclaim Party finish 2nd in the 2026 Clacton by-election?

Reclaim Party

Will Official Monster Raving Loony Party finish 2nd in the 2026 Clacton by-election?

Official Monster Raving Loony Party

Will Labour Party finish 2nd in the 2026 Clacton by-election?

Labour Party

Will Heritage Party finish 2nd in the 2026 Clacton by-election?

Heritage Party

Will Ollie Granger finish 2nd in the 2026 Clacton by-election?

Ollie Granger

Will Forward Party finish 2nd in the 2026 Clacton by-election?

Forward Party

Who will be the Clacton by-election: 2nd place winner?
Outcome verified by [Tendering District Council](https://www.tendringdc.gov.uk/)
Ranking is determined by the specified counting method:
For plurality voting: rank is based on vote count or percentage
For ranked choice voting: rank is determined by elimination order (runner-up is eliminated in final round for second place)
For two-round systems: rank is based on final round results if it proceeds to second round, otherwise first-round totals
For proportional representation: rank follows the electoral authority's final seat allocation order

In case of exact ties, markets resolve proportionally (1/number of tied entities). Write-in candidates achieving the specified rank resolve all named candidate markets to NO unless a specific "Write-in" or "Other" option exists. Candidates who withdraw or are disqualified after the filing deadline but remain on the ballot are ranked based on votes received. If the election is cancelled or postponed beyond expiration, all markets resolve to NO.

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Prediction markets

Clacton by-election: Count Binface vote percent

Clacton by-election margin of victory

Clacton by-election: 2nd place

Clacton by-election: 4th place

Clacton by-election: 3rd place