Prediction markets / Elections / Clacton by-election

Clacton by-election margin of victory

Reform UK, ≥45%56¢
Reform UK, ≥55%53¢
Reform UK, ≥50%46¢
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Timeline

Trading hours
24 hours a day, except Thursday 3AM-5AM ET
Event day
August 13, 2026
Contract resolves
Determines the outcome of the contract
Payout
Usually within 1 hour of event resolution

About

What will be the Clacton by-election margin of victoryOutcome verified by [Tendering District Council]{https://www.tendringdc.gov.uk/}The margin of victory is the vote share received by Reform UK minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Reform UK if Reform UK wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Reform UK loses. If Reform UK wins, the margin will be positive; if Reform UK loses, the margin will be negative; if Reform UK ties for first place, the margin shall be 0.Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Reform UK runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying candidate will be summed.Get $1 for every contract you own if your prediction is correct. Or close your position before the event resolves. Additional fees apply. Read the full contract terms and conditions

Trading prohibitions

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  • Any candidate currently listed as a market within this event

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