Louisiana Senate primaries: which will be won outright
Republican primary7.8¢
Democratic primary81¢
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Republican primary
7.8¢
Democratic primary
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24 hours a day, except Thursday 3AM-5AM ETEvent day
May 16, 2026Contract resolves
Determines the outcome of the contractPayout
Usually within 1 hour of event resolutionAbout
Louisiana Senate primaries: which will be won outright The market resolves to Yes if any candidate meets the legal threshold to avoid a second round. In two-round systems, this typically means receiving more than 50% of valid votes in the first round. In instant-runoff/ranked choice voting, this means a candidate received more than 50% of first-preference votes. Some elections use different thresholds (e.g., 40% with a 10-point lead, or 45%), in which case the applicable legal threshold applies. The determination is based solely on the first round/first count of votes, before any eliminations, transfers, or subsequent rounds. Blank votes, null votes, and invalid ballots are excluded unless electoral law specifically includes them. The market resolves once the relevant electoral body declares whether anyone won the first round. Get $1 for every contract you own if your prediction is correct. Or close your position before the event resolves. Additional fees apply. Read the full contract terms and conditions
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