Prime Minister of Hungary after the 2026 election
Viktor Orbán28¢
Péter Magyar73¢
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1D
1W
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Viktor Orbán
28¢
Péter Magyar
73¢
Timeline
Trading hours
24 hours a day, except Thursday 3AM-5AM ETEvent day
April 12, 2026Contract resolves
Determines the outcome of the contractPayout
Usually within 1 hour of event resolutionAbout
Who will win the Prime Minister of Hungary after the 2026 election? For the purposes of this contract, these rules will satisfy the payout criterion:The person must be formally appointed, sworn in, or invested according to the country's constitutional procedures and command the confidence of the parliament/legislature through an investiture vote, formal approval, or constitutional convention.
They must exercise the full powers of the office, not serve in a caretaker or acting capacity from the previous government.
The appointment must stem from the government formation process following the specified election.Serving as caretaker pending government formation, being designated to form a government but not yet invested, leading the party with most seats without forming government, being named as designate without completing constitutional requirements, or holding the position temporarily during coalition negotiations do NOT satisfy the Payout Criterion.Special situations:If no government forms by the deadline, all markets resolve to No except "No one" if that option exists.
If new elections are called before government formation, markets resolve immediately.
For rotating arrangements, the first person to meet all criteria resolves to Yes.
If the person leading a party dies before taking office, their market resolves to last fair price and their successor may resolve to Yes.
Markets for persons not explicitly listed resolve to "Other" if that option exists. Get $1 for every contract you own if your prediction is correct. Or close your position before the event resolves. Additional fees apply. Read the full contract terms and conditions
Trading prohibitions
- Persons who are employed by any of the Source Agencies are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
- Persons who hold any material, non-public information on the Underlying are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
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