Prediction markets
Texas Republican Senate nominee
Ken Paxton62%
John Cornyn37%
2026 Texas Senate matchup
Talarico vs. Paxton63%
Talarico vs. Cornyn36%
TX-33 Democratic nominee
Colin Allred73%
Julie Johnson31%
Zeeshan Hafeez1.0%
Texas Republican Attorney General nominee
Mayes Middleton79%
Chip Roy20%
Texas Republican Senate Runoff: Margin of Victory
Ken Paxton, 0-5%37%
John Cornyn, 0-5%22%
Ken Paxton, 5-10%18%
TX-18 Democratic nominee
Christian Menefee83%
Al Green22%
Amanda Edwards1.0%
May 26
3.40M3,403,969
Texas Republican Senate nominee
Ken Paxton
62%+ 4 contracts
May 26
1.27M1,271,956
2026 Texas Senate matchup
Talarico vs. Paxton
63%+ 5 contracts
Mar 3
79k79,911
TX-33 Democratic nominee
Colin Allred
73%+ 2 contracts
May 26
63k63,499
Texas Republican Attorney General nominee
Mayes Middleton
79%+ 1 contracts
May 26
43k43,991
Texas Republican Senate Runoff: Margin of Victory
Ken Paxton, 0-5%
37%+ 9 contracts
Mar 3
31k31,768
TX-18 Democratic nominee
Christian Menefee
83%+ 3 contracts
Mar 3
15k15,223
TX-32 Republican nominee
Jace Yarbrough
99%+ 8 contracts
Mar 3
12k12,633
TX-38 Republican nominee
Jon Bonck
96%+ 9 contracts
May 26
9k9,361
Texas Democratic Attorney General nominee
Nathan Johnson
91%+ 1 contracts
May 26
8k8,633
TX-35 Republican nominee
Carlos De La Cruz
79%+ 10 contracts
May 26
6k6,824
TX-19 Republican nominee
Tom Sell
94%+ 6 contracts
May 26
5k5,172
TX-17 Democratic nominee
Casey Shepard
97%+ 2 contracts
May 26
4k4,757
TX-16 Republican nominee
Adam Bauman
88%+ 6 contracts
May 26
4k4,539
TX-01 Democratic nominee
Yolanda Prince
90%+ 3 contracts
May 26
4k4,451
TX-09 Republican nominee
Alexandra del Moral Mealer
79%+ 8 contracts
May 26
4k4,277
TX-24 Democratic nominee
Kevin Burge
92%+ 2 contracts
May 26
3k3,838
TX-33 Republican nominee
Monte Mitchell
4%+ 4 contracts
May 26
2k2,863
TX-07 Republican nominee
Alexander Hale
96%+ 3 contracts
May 26
2k2,410
TX-35 Democratic nominee
Johnny Garcia
70%+ 3 contracts
May 26
1k1,894
TX-30 Republican nominee
Everett Jackson
88%+ 3 contracts
May 26
1k1,843
TX-14 Democratic nominee
Richard Davis
84%+ 2 contracts
May 26
1k1,770
TX-05 Democratic nominee
Chelsey Hockett
83%+ 2 contracts
May 26
450450
TX-37 Republican nominee
Janet Malzahn
1%+ 2 contracts
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