Prediction markets
Texas Republican Senate nominee
Ken Paxton61%
John Cornyn39%
2026 Texas Senate matchup
Talarico vs. Paxton59%
Talarico vs. Cornyn42%
TX-33 Democratic nominee
Colin Allred76%
Julie Johnson25%
Zeeshan Hafeez1.0%
Texas Republican Attorney General nominee
Mayes Middleton86%
Chip Roy12%
Texas Republican Senate Runoff: Margin of Victory
Ken Paxton, 0-5%29%
John Cornyn, 0-5%26%
Ken Paxton, 10-15%19%
TX-18 Democratic nominee
Christian Menefee94.0%
Al Green6.0%
Amanda Edwards1.0%
May 26
3.42M3,418,904
Texas Republican Senate nominee
Ken Paxton
61%+ 4 contracts
May 26
1.27M1,267,520
2026 Texas Senate matchup
Talarico vs. Paxton
59%+ 5 contracts
May 26
80k80,794
TX-33 Democratic nominee
Colin Allred
76%+ 2 contracts
May 26
63k63,462
Texas Republican Attorney General nominee
Mayes Middleton
86%+ 1 contracts
May 26
49k49,121
Texas Republican Senate Runoff: Margin of Victory
Ken Paxton, 0-5%
29%+ 9 contracts
May 26
33k33,711
TX-18 Democratic nominee
Christian Menefee
94%+ 3 contracts
May 26
20k20,650
TX-38 Republican nominee
Jon Bonck
97%+ 9 contracts
Mar 3
17k17,398
TX-35 Republican nominee
Carlos De La Cruz
79%+ 10 contracts
May 26
15k15,227
TX-32 Republican nominee
Jace Yarbrough
99%+ 8 contracts
May 26
9k9,858
TX-16 Republican nominee
Adam Bauman
88%+ 6 contracts
May 26
9k9,361
Texas Democratic Attorney General nominee
Nathan Johnson
91%+ 1 contracts
May 26
6k6,921
TX-19 Republican nominee
Tom Sell
95%+ 6 contracts
May 26
5k5,432
TX-33 Republican nominee
Patrick Gillespie
96%+ 4 contracts
May 26
5k5,172
TX-17 Democratic nominee
Casey Shepard
97%+ 2 contracts
May 26
4k4,571
TX-09 Republican nominee
Alexandra del Moral Mealer
80%+ 8 contracts
Mar 3
4k4,562
TX-24 Democratic nominee
Kevin Burge
92%+ 2 contracts
May 26
4k4,540
TX-01 Democratic nominee
Yolanda Prince
92%+ 3 contracts
May 26
2k2,926
TX-07 Republican nominee
Alexander Hale
92%+ 3 contracts
Mar 3
2k2,845
TX-14 Democratic nominee
Richard Davis
84%+ 2 contracts
May 26
2k2,483
TX-35 Democratic nominee
Johnny Garcia
67%+ 3 contracts
May 26
1k1,999
TX-30 Republican nominee
Everett Jackson
84%+ 3 contracts
May 26
1k1,771
TX-05 Democratic nominee
Chelsey Hockett
84%+ 2 contracts
Mar 3
1k1,590
TX-37 Republican nominee
Lauren Peña
48%+ 2 contracts
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