Prediction markets
Mar 3 @ 3:00 PM
Texas Republican Senate nominee
Ken Paxton16%
John Cornyn85%
Mar 3 @ 1:00 PM
Texas Senate Democratic primary margin of victory
Talarico, 6-9%93%
Talarico, 3-6%6%
Crockett, 0-3%1%
Mar 3 @ 1:00 PM
Texas Senate Democratic primary turnout
Above 1,000,00099%
Above 1,100,00099%
Above 1,200,00099%
Mar 3 @ 1:00 PM
2026 Texas Senate matchup
Talarico vs. Paxton16%
Talarico vs. Cornyn85%
Mar 3 @ 1:00 PM
Texas Senate Republican primary margin of victory
John Cornyn, 0-3%99%
John Cornyn, 3-6%1%
John Cornyn, 6-9%1%
Mar 3 @ 1:00 PM
Texas Senate primary: Democrats have higher turnout than Republicans
Dem turnout > Rep turnout98%
Mar 3
3.17M3,166,669
Texas Republican Senate nominee
John Cornyn
85%+ 4 contracts
Mar 3
2.59M2,588,692
Texas Senate Democratic primary margin of victory
Talarico, 6-9%
93%+ 10 contracts
Mar 3
1.34M1,344,568
Texas Senate Democratic primary turnout
Above 1,000,000
99%+ 21 contracts
Mar 3
1.32M1,317,806
2026 Texas Senate matchup
Talarico vs. Cornyn
85%+ 5 contracts
Mar 3
166k166,877
Texas Senate Republican primary margin of victory
John Cornyn, 0-3%
99%+ 8 contracts
Mar 3
113k113,952
Texas Senate primary: Democrats have higher turnout than Republicans
Democrats have higher turnout than Republicans
98%Mar 3
79k79,270
Larger margin of victory: Texas Senate Dem or GOP primary
Republican primary
1%+ 1 contracts
Futures and cleared swaps trading involves significant risk and is not appropriate for everyone. Event contracts are offered by Robinhood Derivatives, LLC., a registered futures commission merchant and swap firm. Contract references are descriptive only and do not imply affiliation, sponsorship, or endorsement by any referenced parties.