Prediction markets
Texas Republican Senate nominee
Ken Paxton60%
John Cornyn38%
2026 Texas Senate matchup
Talarico vs. Paxton62%
Talarico vs. Cornyn37%
TX-33 Democratic nominee
Colin Allred71%
Julie Johnson25%
Zeeshan Hafeez1.0%
Texas Republican Attorney General nominee
Mayes Middleton80%
Chip Roy20%
Texas Republican Senate Runoff: Margin of Victory
Ken Paxton, 0-5%31%
John Cornyn, 0-5%24%
Ken Paxton, 5-10%16%
TX-18 Democratic nominee
Christian Menefee86%
Al Green8.1%
Amanda Edwards1.0%
May 26
3.41M3,409,024
Texas Republican Senate nominee
Ken Paxton
60%+ 4 contracts
May 26
1.27M1,271,019
2026 Texas Senate matchup
Talarico vs. Paxton
62%+ 5 contracts
May 26
80k80,665
TX-33 Democratic nominee
Colin Allred
71%+ 2 contracts
May 26
63k63,503
Texas Republican Attorney General nominee
Mayes Middleton
80%+ 1 contracts
May 26
46k46,051
Texas Republican Senate Runoff: Margin of Victory
Ken Paxton, 0-5%
31%+ 9 contracts
May 26
32k32,390
TX-18 Democratic nominee
Christian Menefee
86%+ 3 contracts
May 26
15k15,223
TX-32 Republican nominee
Jace Yarbrough
99%+ 8 contracts
May 26
12k12,633
TX-38 Republican nominee
Jon Bonck
96%+ 9 contracts
May 26
9k9,361
Texas Democratic Attorney General nominee
Nathan Johnson
91%+ 1 contracts
May 26
8k8,407
TX-35 Republican nominee
Carlos De La Cruz
79%+ 10 contracts
Mar 3
6k6,924
TX-19 Republican nominee
Tom Sell
95%+ 6 contracts
May 26
5k5,432
TX-33 Republican nominee
Patrick Gillespie
96%+ 4 contracts
May 26
5k5,172
TX-17 Democratic nominee
Casey Shepard
97%+ 2 contracts
May 26
4k4,757
TX-16 Republican nominee
Adam Bauman
88%+ 6 contracts
May 26
4k4,539
TX-01 Democratic nominee
Yolanda Prince
90%+ 3 contracts
May 26
4k4,535
TX-09 Republican nominee
Alexandra del Moral Mealer
79%+ 8 contracts
Mar 3
4k4,281
TX-24 Democratic nominee
Kevin Burge
92%+ 2 contracts
Mar 3
2k2,925
TX-07 Republican nominee
Alexander Hale
92%+ 3 contracts
May 26
2k2,410
TX-35 Democratic nominee
Johnny Garcia
70%+ 3 contracts
May 26
1k1,894
TX-30 Republican nominee
Everett Jackson
88%+ 3 contracts
May 26
1k1,843
TX-14 Democratic nominee
Richard Davis
84%+ 2 contracts
May 26
1k1,770
TX-05 Democratic nominee
Chelsey Hockett
83%+ 2 contracts
May 26
1k1,605
TX-37 Republican nominee
Lauren Peña
55%+ 2 contracts
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