Prediction markets
Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair?
Kevin Warsh96%
Judy Shelton2%
Arthur Laffer1%
Jan 30 @ 1:00 PM
Government shutdown on Jan 31, 2026?
Jan 31, 2026 shutdown99%
Will the Supreme Court rule in favor of Trump's tariffs?
Before Jan 1, 202833%
Jan 30 @ 1:00 PM
How many days will the federal government be shut down before March
More than 1 day99%
More than 2 days98%
More than 3 days57%
How many Supreme Court justices will vote for Trump's tariffs?
Exactly 3 justices29%
Exactly 5 justices21%
Exactly 2 justices16%
How much will the US acquire Greenland for?
$0 / No Acquisition77%
$600 billion to $899 billion15%
$1.2 trillion or more4%
Jan 20
59.48M59,478,710
Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair?
Kevin Warsh
96%+ 22 contracts
Jan 30
14.78M14,783,620
Government shutdown on Jan 31, 2026?
Jan 31, 2026 shutdown
99%Jan 1
2.03M2,034,910
Will the Supreme Court rule in favor of Trump's tariffs?
Before Jan 1, 2028
33%Jan 30
930k930,543
How many days will the federal government be shut down before March
More than 1 day
99%+ 7 contracts
Aug 1
609k609,108
How many Supreme Court justices will vote for Trump's tariffs?
Exactly 3 justices
29%+ 9 contracts
Jan 22
403k403,002
How much will the US acquire Greenland for?
$0 / No Acquisition
77%+ 7 contracts
Jan 1
676k676,735
Will Americans receive tariff stimulus checks?
Before 2027
45%+ 8 contracts
Jan 30
709k709,946
When will the government be fully funded
Before Feb 15, 2026
90%+ 5 contracts
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