Prediction markets

Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair?

Kevin Hassett51%
Kevin Warsh28%
Christopher Waller16%
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Kevin Hassett - 51¢Kevin Warsh - 28¢Christopher Waller - 16¢

How much government spending will Trump cut in 2025

At least 1 billion5%
At least 50 billion4%
At least 100 billion3%
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At least 1 billion - 5¢At least 50 billion - 4¢At least 100 billion - 3¢

Will Americans receive tariff stimulus checks?

Before 202771%
Before July66%
Before August65%
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Before 2027 - 71¢Before July - 66¢Before August - 65¢

When will Trump announce his new Chair of the Federal Reserve?

Before Feb 190%
Before January 1572%
Before 202613%
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Before Feb 1 - 90¢Before January 15 - 72¢Before 2026 - 13¢

How many government employees will Trump cut in 2025

More than 500,000 cut1%
More than 1,000,000 cut1%
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More than 500,000 cut - 1¢More than 1,000,000 cut - 1¢

Another US credit rating downgrade in 2025

Rating downgrade before Jan 1, 20252%
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Rating downgrade before Jan 1, 2025 - 2¢
Jan 20
7.21M7,210,905
Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair?
Kevin Hassett
51%
+ 22 contracts
Mar 31
1.67M1,673,528
How much government spending will Trump cut in 2025
At least 1 billion
5%
+ 8 contracts
Jan 1
448k448,918
Will Americans receive tariff stimulus checks?
Before 2027
71%
+ 8 contracts
Feb 1
381k381,944
When will Trump announce his new Chair of the Federal Reserve?
Before Feb 1
90%
+ 3 contracts
Feb 1
271k271,983
How many government employees will Trump cut in 2025
More than 1,000,000 cut
1%
+ 3 contracts
Jan 1
76k76,748
Another US credit rating downgrade in 2025
Rating downgrade before Jan 1, 2025
2%
Mar 31
75k75,879
Will total US debt be above $38T at the end of 2025
Above $38 trillion
95%
Apr 1
72k72,287
How much will the government increase spending in 2025
At least $500 billion
26%
+ 1 contracts
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