Prediction markets

Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair?

Kevin Warsh96%
Judy Shelton2%
Arthur Laffer1%
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Kevin Warsh - 96¢Judy Shelton - 2¢Arthur Laffer - 1¢
Jan 30 @ 1:00 PM

Government shutdown on Jan 31, 2026?

Jan 31, 2026 shutdown99%
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Jan 31, 2026 shutdown - 99¢

How much government spending will Trump cut in 2025

At least 1 billion7%
At least 25 billion5%
At least 50 billion4%
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At least 1 billion - 7¢At least 25 billion - 5¢At least 50 billion - 4¢
Jan 30 @ 1:00 PM

How many days will the federal government be shut down before March

More than 1 day99%
More than 2 days98%
More than 3 days57%
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More than 1 day - 99¢More than 2 days - 98¢More than 3 days - 57¢

Will Americans receive tariff stimulus checks?

Before 202747%
Before August21%
Before July17%
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Before 2027 - 47¢Before August - 21¢Before July - 17¢
Jan 30 @ 1:00 PM

When will the government be fully funded

Before Feb 15, 202690%
Before Feb 4, 202669%
Before Feb 3, 202645%
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Before Feb 15, 2026 - 90¢Before Feb 4, 2026 - 69¢Before Feb 3, 2026 - 45¢
Jan 20
59.56M59,562,003
Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair?
Kevin Warsh
96%
+ 22 contracts
Jan 30
15.01M15,014,670
Government shutdown on Jan 31, 2026?
Jan 31, 2026 shutdown
99%
Mar 31
2.59M2,589,592
How much government spending will Trump cut in 2025
At least 1 billion
7%
+ 8 contracts
Jan 30
926k926,006
How many days will the federal government be shut down before March
More than 1 day
99%
+ 7 contracts
Jan 1
676k676,740
Will Americans receive tariff stimulus checks?
Before 2027
47%
+ 8 contracts
Jan 30
719k719,045
When will the government be fully funded
Before Feb 15, 2026
90%
+ 5 contracts
Apr 1
112k112,572
How much will the government increase spending in 2025
At least $500 billion
28%
+ 1 contracts
Nov 3
86k86,795
Will the California billionaire wealth tax pass?
Billionaire tax passes
36%
Jan 1
77k77,153
Will credit card rates be capped this year?
Before 2027
31%
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