Prediction markets
Best AI at the end of 2025
Gemini93%
Grok4%
ChatGPT3%
Which companies will have a #1 AI model this year?
Anthropic4%
Meta4%
Nvidia3%
Which AI company will have the best coding model on Jan 1, 2026?
OpenAI75%
Anthropic21%
Google5%
How many cities will Waymo be operating in at the end of 2025?
3 cities91%
5 cities9%
4 cities3%
Which AI will be the first to hit 1500 on Chatbot Arena?
Gemini8%
ChatGPT4%
Grok4%
AI capability growth this year?
At least 1500 Elo score10%
At least 1550 Elo score3%
At least 1600 Elo score2%
Dec 31
8.31M8,310,166
Best AI at the end of 2025
Gemini
93%+ 6 contracts
Jan 1
763k763,674
Which companies will have a #1 AI model this year?
Anthropic
4%+ 8 contracts
Jan 1
563k563,857
Which AI company will have the best coding model on Jan 1, 2026?
OpenAI
75%+ 6 contracts
Dec 31
504k504,518
How many cities will Waymo be operating in at the end of 2025?
3 cities
91%+ 13 contracts
Jan 1
481k481,672
Which AI will be the first to hit 1500 on Chatbot Arena?
Gemini
8%+ 4 contracts
Jan 1
134k134,140
AI capability growth this year?
At least 1500 Elo score
10%+ 2 contracts
Jan 1
59k59,645
Will a Chinese AI model reach #1 this year?
Before 2026
4%Jan 1
44k44,204
Will an AI generated song be on the Billboard Hot 100?
Before 2026
11%Jan 1
43k43,024
Will an LLM beat a grandmaster in chess this year?
Before 2026
3%Jan 1
26k26,277
Will Meta release Llama 5 before January?
Before 2026
3%Event contracts involve significant risk and are not appropriate for everyone. Please carefully consider in light of your personal financial circumstances. Event contracts are offered by Robinhood Derivatives, LLC.