Prediction markets / Economics

2026 July 16 Unemployment Claims

Above 20500086¢
Above 21000071¢
Above 2000000¢
1D
1W
MAX

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Timeline

Event day
July 16, 2026
Contract resolves
Determines the outcome of the contract
Payout
Usually within 1 hour of event resolution

About

How many Jobless Claims for week ending in July 11, 2026 will there be?Contracts resolve based on the "Initial Claims" figure (Seasonally Adjusted) as reported in the "Unemployment Insurance Weekly Claims Report", https://www.dol.gov/ui/data.pdf, released by the U.S. Department of Labor (DOL) on July 16. Settlement is determined by the initial figure published on the scheduled release date. The Contract will settle as “Yes” if the initial release is reported as strictly greater than the number specified in the Contract. Any subsequent revisions, adjustments, or restatements by the DOL in the weeks following the initial release will not be considered for the purpose of contract resolution. If the DOL postpones the release of the report beyond the scheduled expiration date, contracts will resolve based on the last fair market price as determined by Rothera. In the event the report is canceled entirely, the contract will be settled to fair market value as determined by Rothera.Get $1 for every contract you own if your prediction is correct. Or close your position before the event resolves. Additional fees apply. Read the full contract terms and conditions

Trading prohibitions

  • Paid employees and management of the U.S. Department of Labor who are involved in the compilation, review, preparation, or release of the weekly initial jobless claims data used to settle the Contract.
  • Household members and immediate family members (siblings, children and parents) of the foregoing where such person reasonably may have access to material nonpublic information regarding the referenced economic event.
  • Any other Person who, by sole determination of the Exchange, possesses material nonpublic information relating to the Underlying.

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Event contracts are offered by Robinhood Derivatives, LLC through either KalshiEX LLC, ForecastEX, LLC or Rothera Exchange and Clearing LLC.