Prediction markets / Economics

2026 July 16 Unemployment Claims

Above 20500086¢
Above 21000071¢
Above 2000000¢
1D
1W
MAX

Select a contract

Timeline

Event day
July 16, 2026
Contract resolves
Determines the outcome of the contract
Payout
Usually within 1 hour of event resolution

About

How many Jobless Claims for week ending in July 11, 2026 will there be?Contracts resolve based on the "Initial Claims" figure (Seasonally Adjusted) as reported in the "Unemployment Insurance Weekly Claims Report", https://www.dol.gov/ui/data.pdf, released by the U.S. Department of Labor (DOL) on July 16. Settlement is determined by the initial figure published on the scheduled release date. The Contract will settle as “Yes” if the initial release is reported as strictly greater than the number specified in the Contract. Any subsequent revisions, adjustments, or restatements by the DOL in the weeks following the initial release will not be considered for the purpose of contract resolution. If the DOL postpones the release of the report beyond the scheduled expiration date, contracts will resolve based on the last fair market price as determined by Rothera. In the event the report is canceled entirely, the contract will be settled to fair market value as determined by Rothera.Get $1 for every contract you own if your prediction is correct. Or close your position before the event resolves. Additional fees apply. Read the full contract terms and conditions

Trading prohibitions

  • Paid employees and management of the U.S. Department of Labor who are involved in the compilation, review, preparation, or release of the weekly initial jobless claims data used to settle the Contract.
  • Household members and immediate family members (siblings, children and parents) of the foregoing where such person reasonably may have access to material nonpublic information regarding the referenced economic event.
  • Any other Person who, by sole determination of the Exchange, possesses material nonpublic information relating to the Underlying.

Similar events

How low will the price of natural gas be in 2026?
Fed rate decision in October 2026
Fed rate decision in July 2027
How many FOMC members will dissent at the September 2026 Fed meeting?
US real GDP growth in 2028
How many barrels of oil per day will the US produce in 2026?
Unemployment in September
Inflation in August 2026 (CPI YoY)
US real GDP growth in 2035
How much solar capacity will be installed in the US in 2026?
Jobs numbers in Aug 2026
US GDP growth in Q1 2027
Restrictions and eligibility requirements apply. Futures, options on futures and cleared swaps trading involves significant risk and is not appropriate for everyone. Please carefully consider if it is appropriate for you in light of your personal financial circumstances.
Read the Event Contracts Risk Disclosure for more information about the risks associated with event contracts.
Live data is for informational purposes only. It maybe delayed or incorrect.
Event contracts are offered by Robinhood Derivatives, LLC through either KalshiEX LLC, ForecastEX, LLC or Rothera Exchange and Clearing LLC.