Fed rate decision in January
Cut rates by 25bps0¢
Cut rates by more than 25bps0¢
Hike rates by more than 25bps0¢
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Cut 25bps
0¢
Cut >25bps
0¢
Hike >25bps
0¢
Fed maintains rate
0¢
Hike 25bps
--¢
Timeline
Trading hours
24 hours a day, except Thursday 3AM-5AM ETContract resolves
Determines the outcome of the contractEvent day
January 27, 2027Payout
Usually within 1 hour of event resolutionAbout
What will be the Fed rate decision in January 2027?Contracts resolve based on the change to the federal funds target rate range, measured in basis points, announced by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) at the January 2027 meeting, as reported by the Source Agency. Settlement is determined by the first official rate decision published by the Source Agency for the specified meeting; preliminary estimates or figures from unofficial sources will not be considered for the purpose of contract resolution. Only contracts whose stated basis point change matches the FOMC's announced decision will resolve to YES; all others will resolve NO. If the FOMC cancels the meeting entirely, the contract for 0 bps (No Change) will resolve YES and all other contracts for that meeting will resolve NO. If the Federal Reserve Board delays the release of the rate decision beyond the Expiration Date, or if the release is canceled without a meeting cancellation, the contract will be settled to fair market value as determined by Rothera.Get $1 for every contract you own if your prediction is correct. Or close your position before the event resolves. Additional fees apply. Read the full contract terms and conditions
Trading prohibitions
- Employees and management of the U.S. Federal Reserve System who are involved in the compilation, review, and preparation for the FOMC meeting, or the release of the rate decision data used to settle the Contract.
- Household members and immediate family members (siblings, children and parents) of the foregoing where such person reasonably may have access to material nonpublic information regarding the referenced economic event.
- Any other Person who, by sole determination of the Exchange, possesses material nonpublic information relating to the Underlying.
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Live data is for informational purposes only. It maybe delayed or incorrect.
Event contracts are offered by Robinhood Derivatives, LLC through either KalshiEX LLC, ForecastEX, LLC or Rothera Exchange and Clearing LLC.