Prediction markets / Economics

Unemployment in January 2026

>4.0%98¢
>4.1%96¢
>4.3%2¢
1D
1W
MAX

Select a contract

Timeline

Event day
February 6, 2026
Contract resolves
Determines the outcome of the contract
Payout
Usually within 1 hour of event resolution

About

Predict the seasonally adjusted unemployment rate reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics in January 2026. If it's above the percent you select, then the outcome resolves to Yes. If not, then it resolves to No. Additional fees apply. Read the full contract terms and conditions

Trading prohibitions

  • Persons who are employed by any of the Source Agencies are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
  • Persons who hold any material, non-public information on the Underlying are not permitted to trade on the Contract.

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Event contracts are offered by Robinhood Derivatives, LLC through either KalshiEX LLC, ForecastEX, LLC or Rothera Exchange and Clearing LLC.