US GDP growth in Q4 2025

>2.5%73¢

>3.0%39¢

>3.5%19¢

MAX

Select a contract

Above 2.0%

88¢

Above 2.5%

73¢

Above 3.0%

39¢

Above 3.5%

19¢

Above 4.5%

10¢

Timeline

Trading hours

24 hours a day, except Thursday 3AM-5AM ET

Event day

February 20, 2026

Contract resolves

Determines the outcome of the contract

Payout

Usually within 1 hour of event resolution

About

Predict the real GDP growth rate for the fourth quarter of 2025 (Q4 2025), reported by the U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA). If it's above the threshold you select, the outcome resolves to Yes. If not, it resolves to No. Additional fees apply. Read the full contract terms and conditions

Trading prohibitions

Persons who are employed by any of the Source Agencies are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
Persons who hold any material, non-public information on the Underlying are not permitted to trade on the Contract.

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Restrictions and eligibility requirements apply. Futures, options on futures and cleared swaps trading involves significant risk and is not appropriate for everyone. Please carefully consider if it is appropriate for you in light of your personal financial circumstances.

Read the Event Contracts Risk Disclosure for more information about the risks associated with event contracts.

Live data is for informational purposes only. It maybe delayed or incorrect.

Event contracts are offered by Robinhood Derivatives, LLC through either KalshiEX LLC or ForecastEX, LLC.