What will the People's Bank of China do at the January 2026 PBOC meeting
Maintain current rate97¢
Cut >10bp80¢
Cut 1-10 basis points2¢
1D
1W
MAX
Select a contract
Hike 1-10 basis points
98¢
Maintain current rate
97¢
Cut more than 10bp
80¢
Cut 1-10 basis points
2¢
Hike more than 10bp
1¢
Timeline
Event day
January 19, 2026Contract resolves
Determines the outcome of the contractPayout
Usually within 1 hour of event resolutionAbout
What action will the People's Bank of China take at the Jan 2026 PBOC meeting? The market resolves based on the official One-Year Loan Prime Rate announced by the central bank. For central banks with multiple policy rates, only changes to the primary policy rate count. If the meeting is cancelled or delayed past the expiration date, markets for "No change" resolve to Yes and all others resolve to No. Emergency rate changes between scheduled meetings do not affect resolution of contracts tied to scheduled meetings. The specific basis point ranges are inclusive (e.g., "25-50bp" includes both 25bp and 50bp changes). Get $1 for every contract you own if your prediction is correct. Or close your position before the event resolves. Additional fees apply. Read the full contract terms and conditions
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