Prediction markets / Economics

What will the People's Bank of China do at the January 2026 PBOC meeting

Maintain current rate97¢
Cut >10bp80¢
Cut 1-10 basis points2¢
1D
1W
MAX

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Timeline

Event day
January 19, 2026
Contract resolves
Determines the outcome of the contract
Payout
Usually within 1 hour of event resolution

About

What action will the People's Bank of China take at the Jan 2026 PBOC meeting? The market resolves based on the official One-Year Loan Prime Rate announced by the central bank. For central banks with multiple policy rates, only changes to the primary policy rate count. If the meeting is cancelled or delayed past the expiration date, markets for "No change" resolve to Yes and all others resolve to No. Emergency rate changes between scheduled meetings do not affect resolution of contracts tied to scheduled meetings. The specific basis point ranges are inclusive (e.g., "25-50bp" includes both 25bp and 50bp changes). Get $1 for every contract you own if your prediction is correct. Or close your position before the event resolves. Additional fees apply. Read the full contract terms and conditions

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