Prediction markets / Elections / Texas

Texas Republican Senate nominee

Ken Paxton60¢
John Cornyn39¢
Beth Van Duyne1¢
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Timeline

Trading hours
24 hours a day, except Thursday 3AM-5AM ET
Event day
March 3, 2026
Contract resolves
Determines the outcome of the contract
Payout
Usually within 1 hour of event resolution

About

Who will win the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the 2026 Class II Texas Senate seat? Get $1 for every contract you own if your prediction is correct. Or close your position before the event resolves. Additional fees apply. Read the full contract terms and conditions

Trading prohibitions

  • Persons who are employed by any of the Source Agencies are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
  • Persons who hold any material, non-public information on the Underlying are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
  • Holders of federal and statewide public office.
  • Paid campaign staffers on Senate campaigns.
  • Anyone working in a vote-tallying capacity, or who has the potential ability to observe official vote counts before they are public.
  • Third-party vendors and contractors (and employees thereof) of Senatorial campaigns.
  • Paid employees of Democratic and Republican Party organizations, such as the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee or the Republican National Committee.
  • Paid employees of Political Action Committees (PACs) and "Super PACs" (independent expenditure only political committees).
  • Paid employees of major polling organizations. This prohibition does not apply to all employees of an organization that contains a polling division (e.g. the prohibition does not apply to all employees of Quinnipiac University despite the presence of Quinnipiac University's polling division). The Exchange shall determine which polling organizations constitute "major" and may modify that determination at any time, and will post publicly a list of those organizations on its website.
  • Employees of Decision Desks at major media organizations (including, but not necessarily exclusive to, Fox News, ABC News, AP, CNN, CBS News, Decision Desk HQ and NBC News). The Exchange shall determine which media organizations constitute "major" and may modify that determination at any time, and will post publicly a list of those organizations on its website.
  • All staff of the U.S. House of Representatives and its members.
  • All staff of the U.S. Senate and its members.
  • All staff of the Office of the President of the United States.
  • All staff of the Office of the Vice President of the United States.
  • All staff of the U.S. Supreme Court and its Justices.
  • Any foreign national. This is defined as an individual who is: (1) not a citizen of the United States and (2) not lawfully admitted for permanent residence (as defined in 8 U.S.C. § 1101(a)(20)); or a foreign principal, as defined in 22 U.S.C. § 611(b). Section 611(b) defines a foreign principal to include a foreign government or political party; or a partnership, association, corporation, organization, or other combination of persons organized under the laws of a foreign country or whose principal place of business is in a foreign country.

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