Prediction markets / Elections / Arkansas

Tom Cotton vote percent in the Arkansas Senate GOP primary

75% or more99¢
80% or more96¢
95% or more8¢
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1W
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Timeline

Trading hours
24 hours a day, except Thursday 3AM-5AM ET
Event day
March 3, 2026
Contract resolves
Determines the outcome of the contract
Payout
Usually within 1 hour of event resolution

About

What will be the certified percentage of the vote received by Tom Cotton in the first round of the 2026 Arkansas Republican Senate primary? The percentage is calculated as (total votes received by the specified person/party ÷ total valid votes cast) × 100, rounded to the specified decimal places. Resolution is based on certified/official results only, not preliminary results. Write-in votes are included if they appear in certified results. Invalid, spoiled, or rejected ballots are excluded from both numerator and denominator. If multiple rounds of voting occur (e.g., ranked choice voting), the percentage is based on the specified round or the first round if not specified. If the election is cancelled, postponed beyond the market expiration, or no certified results are available by expiration, the market resolves to No. If a recount changes the certified percentage before expiration, the most recent certified percentage is used. Get $1 for every contract you own if your prediction is correct. Or close your position before the event resolves. Additional fees apply. Read the full contract terms and conditions

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