Prediction markets / Elections / Texas

2026 Texas Senate matchup

Talarico vs. Paxton67¢
Talarico vs. Cornyn32¢
LIVE
1D
1W
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Timeline

Trading hours
24 hours a day, except Thursday 3AM-5AM ET
Event day
March 3, 2026
Contract resolves
Determines the outcome of the contract
Payout
Usually within 1 hour of event resolution

About

Who will be the party candidates in the 2026 Texas Senate matchup This is a combination market requiring ALL specified outcomes to occur for the contract to pay out. If ANY single component resolves to No or becomes impossible, the entire contract immediately resolves to No. Each component is resolved according to its corresponding Kalshi ruleset: Dem Nominee uses , GOP Nominee uses . For economic data releases, resolution uses the first officially released value (not preliminary or revised estimates unless specified). All conditions must be satisfied within the specified time period. Get $1 for every contract you own if your prediction is correct. Or close your position before the event resolves. Additional fees apply. Read the full contract terms and conditions

Trading prohibitions

  • Persons who are employed by any of the Source Agencies are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
  • Persons who hold any material, non-public information on the Underlying are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
  • Cabinet members and their immediate staff.
  • Federal Reserve Board members and regional Fed presidents.
  • Members of Congress and their senior staff.
  • White House senior staff and advisors.
  • Heads of relevant federal agencies referenced in components.
  • Employees of Bureau of Labor Statistics, Bureau of Economic Analysis, Census Bureau.
  • Employees with pre-release access to economic data.
  • Federal statistical agency employees involved in data compilation.
  • Contractors with access to embargoed data.
  • Campaign managers and senior campaign staff for referenced candidates.
  • Political party leadership if election/appointment components included.
  • Judicial clerks if Supreme Court components included.
  • Congressional committee staff for relevant committees.
  • Journalists with embargo access to referenced data.
  • Employees of Source Agencies who cover relevant beats.
  • Political polling organization employees if polling components included.
  • Foreign government officials involved in treaty/agreement negotiations (if applicable).
  • Diplomatic staff with knowledge of agreement timing.
  • International organization employees (IMF, World Bank, UN) if relevant.
  • Immediate family members of all above categories.
  • Household members of prohibited persons.

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